Most 1.6 Earth-Radius Planets are not Rocky
arXiv:1407.4457 · doi:10.1088/0004-637X/801/1/41
Abstract
The Kepler Mission, combined with ground based radial velocity (RV) follow-up and dynamical analyses of transit timing variations, has revolutionized the observational constraints on sub-Neptune-size planet compositions. The results of an extensive Kepler follow-up program including multiple Doppler measurements for 22 planet-hosting stars more than doubles the population of sub-Neptune-sized transiting planets that have RV mass constraints. This unprecedentedly large and homogeneous sample of planets with both mass and radius constraints opens the possibility of a statistical study of the underlying population of planet compositions. We focus on the intriguing transition between rocky exoplanets (comprised of iron and silicates) and planets with voluminous layers of volatiles (H/He and astrophysical ices). Applying a hierarchical Bayesian statistical approach to the sample of Kepler transiting sub-Neptune planets with Keck RV follow-up, we constrain the fraction of close-in planets (with orbital periods less than ~50 days) that are sufficiently dense to be rocky, as a function of planet radius. We show that the majority of 1.6 Earth-radius planets are too low density to be comprised of Fe and silicates alone. At larger radii, the constraints on the fraction of rocky planets are even more stringent. These insights into the size demographics of rocky and volatile-rich planets offer empirical constraints to planet formation theories, and guide the range of planet radii to be considered in studies of the occurrence rate of "Earth-like" planets, .
arXiv commentAccepted to ApJ, In press
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- Geoscience for understanding habitability in the solar system and beyond
- An upper limit on the ratio between the Extreme Ultraviolet and the bolometric luminosities of stars hosting habitable planets
- Obliquity Variations of Habitable Zone Planets Kepler-62f and Kepler-186f
- TOI 540 b: A Planet Smaller than Earth Orbiting a Nearby Rapidly Rotating Low-mass Star
- A Habitable-Zone Earth-Sized Planet Rescued from False Positive Status
- An accurate mass determination for Kepler-1655b, a moderately-irradiated world with a significant volatile envelope
- A Search for Additional Bodies in the GJ 1132 Planetary System from 21 Ground-based Transits and a 100 Hour Spitzer Campaign
- The Stellar Variability Noise Floor for Transiting Exoplanet Photometry with PLATO
- Secondary atmospheres on HD 219134 b and c
- Kepler's Earth-like Planets Should Not Be Confirmed Without Independent Detection: The Case of Kepler-452b
- Discovery and mass measurement of the hot, transiting, Earth-sized planet GJ 3929 b
- Bayesian evidence for the prevalence of waterworlds
- Formation of Terrestrial Planets
- K2-265 b: A Transiting Rocky Super-Earth
- The chemical composition of Cen AB revisited
- Role of magma oceans in controlling carbon and oxygen of sub-Neptune atmospheres
- Robust Transiting Exoplanet Radii in the Presence of Starspots from Ingress and Egress Durations
- Where are the Water Worlds?: Self-Consistent Models of Water-Rich Exoplanet Atmospheres
- Effect of surface-mantle water exchange parameterizations on exoplanet ocean depths
- Kepler-1656b: a Dense Sub-Saturn With an Extreme Eccentricity
- Application of Orbital Stability and Tidal Migration Constraints for Exomoon Candidates
- Following up the Kepler field: Masses of Targets for transit timing and atmospheric characterization
- TESS Habitable Zone Star Catalog
- Photochemical Runaway in Exoplanet Atmospheres: Implications for Biosignatures
- Potential long-term habitable conditions on planets with primordial H-He atmospheres
- Magnetospherically-trapped dust and a possible model for the unusual transits at WD 1145+017
- The influence of host star activity evolution on the population of super-Earths and mini-Neptunes
- Bioverse: a simulation framework to assess the statistical power of future biosignature surveys
- Near Mean-motion Resonances in the Systems Observed by Kepler: Affected by Mass Accretion and Type I Migration
- Large Interferometer For Exoplanets (LIFE): IV. Ideal kernel-nulling array architectures for a space-based mid-infrared nulling interferometer
- Characterising Atmospheres of Cloudy Temperate Mini-Neptunes with JWST
- Quantitative estimates of the surface habitability of Kepler-452b
- The detailed chemical composition of the terrestrial planet host Kepler-10
- Dispersed Matter Planet Project Discoveries of Ablating Planets Orbiting Nearby Bright Stars
- The K2-ESPRINT Project II: Spectroscopic follow-up of three exoplanet systems from Campaign 1 of K2
- Internal water storage capacity of terrestrial planets and the effect of hydration on the M-R relation
- On the Orbital Inclination of Proxima Centauri b
- Transit Probabilities in Secularly Evolving Planetary Systems
- Kepler's Dark Worlds: a Low Albedo for an Ensemble of Neptunian and Terran Exoplanets
- K2-155: A Bright Metal-Poor M Dwarf with Three Transiting Super-Earths
- Migration and Growth of Protoplanetary Embryos III: Mass and Metallicity Dependence for FGKM main-sequence stars
- Transit Visibility Zones of the Solar System Planets
- The direct imaging search for Earth 2.0: Quantifying biases and planetary false positives
- Detection of Exoplanet as a Binary Source of Microlensing Events in WFIRST Survey
- Importance of Sample Selection in Exoplanet Atmosphere Population Studies
- Tidal Heating of Young Super-Earth Atmospheres
- Continuous reorientation of synchronous terrestrial planets controlled by mantle convection
- Super-Earths and sub-Neptunes are Insensitive to Stellar Metallicity
- TOI-1696: a nearby M4 dwarf with a planet in the Neptunian desert
- K2-291 b: A rocky super-Earth in a 2.2 day orbit
- Detecting Biosignatures in the Atmospheres of Gas Dwarf Planets with the James Webb Space Telescope
- Magellan/PFS Radial Velocities of GJ 9827, a late K dwarf at 30 pc with Three Transiting Super-Earths
- The LHS 1678 System: Two Earth-Sized Transiting Planets and an Astrometric Companion Orbiting an M Dwarf Near the Convective Boundary at 20 pc
- How to Characterize the Atmosphere of a Transiting Exoplanet
- A Mini-Neptune Orbiting the Metal-poor K Dwarf BD+29 2654
- Predicting the Yield of Small Transiting Exoplanets around Mid-M and Ultra-Cool Dwarfs in the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey
- The origins of nearly coplanar, non-resonant systems of close-in super-Earths
- HD207897 b: A dense sub-Neptune transiting a nearby and bright K-type star
- Two Terrestrial Planet Families With Different Origins
- TOI-1075 b: A Dense, Massive, Ultra-Short Period Hot Super-Earth Straddling the Radius Gap
- A HARDCORE model for constraining an exoplanet's core size
- TKS V. Twin sub-Neptunes Transiting the Nearby G Star HD 63935
- Atmospheric Dynamics of a Near Tidally Locked Earth-Size Planet
- Examining Tatooine: Atmospheric Models of Neptune-Like Circumbinary Planets
- Obliquity Evolution of the Potentially Habitable Exoplanet Kepler-62f
- A Comparison of Spectroscopic versus Imaging Techniques for Detecting Close Companions to Kepler Objects of Interest
- A population-based Habitable Zone perspective
- Outcomes of Grazing Impacts Between Sub-Neptunes in Kepler Multis
- Envelopes of embedded super-Earths I. Two-dimensional simulations
- Hierarchical Bayesian Atmospheric Retrieval Modeling for Population Studies of Exoplanet Atmospheres: A Case Study on the Habitable Zone
- Predictions of planet detections with near infrared radial velocities in the up-coming SPIRou Legacy Survey-Planet Search
- Using HARPS-N to characterise the long-period planets in the PH-2 and Kepler-103 systems
- Eta-Earth Revisited II: Deriving a Maximum Number of Earth-like Habitats in the Galactic Disk
- TESS-Keck Survey XIV: Two giant exoplanets from the Distant Giants Survey
- Magma ocean interactions can explain JWST observations of the sub-Neptune TOI-270 d
- Kepler Transit Depths Contaminated by a Phantom Star
- Super-Earths as Failed Cores in Orbital Migration Traps
- Why do more massive stars host larger planets?
- The Cosmic Shoreline Revisited: A Metric for Atmospheric Retention Informed by Hydrodynamic Escape
- Properties of Sub-Neptune Atmospheres: TOI-270 System
- EOS-ESTM: A flexible climate model for habitable exoplanets
- Hazy with a chance of star spots: constraining the atmosphere of the young planet, K2-33b
- Mars' atmospheric neon suggests volatile-rich primitive mantle
- Synergies between Asteroseismology and Exoplanetary Science
- Habitable Zone and Atmosphere Retention Distance (HaZARD) Stellar-evolution-dependent loss models of secondary atmospheres
- Blue marble, stagnant lid: Could dynamic topography avert a waterworld?
- Higher Water Loss on Earth-like Exoplanets in Eccentric Orbits
- Physical Properties and Impact Parameter Variations of Kepler Planets from Analytic Light Curve Modeling
- Host Star Dependence of Small Planet Mass-Radius Distributions
- Rocky histories: The effect of high excitations on the formation of rocky planets
- Observability of hydrogen-rich exospheres in Earth-like exoplanets
- TESS and CHEOPS Discover Two Warm Sub-Neptunes Transiting the Bright K-dwarf HD 15906
- The COBREX archival survey: improved constraints on the occurrence rate of wide-orbit substellar companions. I. A uniform re-analysis of 400 stars from the GPIES survey
- Impact of M-dwarf Stellar Wind and Photoevaporation on the Atmospheric Evolution of Small Planets
- MIRECLE: Science Yield for a Mid-IR Explorer-Class Mission to Study Non-Transiting Rocky Planets Orbiting the Nearest M-Stars Using Planetary Infrared Excess
- Multiverse Predictions for Habitability: Number of Potentially Habitable Planets
- The Dynamic Proto-atmospheres around Low-Mass Planets with Eccentric Orbits
- From Super-Earths to Mini-Neptunes: Implications of a Surface on Atmospheric Circulation
- Fully fluorinated non-carbon compounds NF3 and SF6 as ideal technosignature gases
- The evolutionary track of H/He envelope in the observed population of sub-Neptunes and Super-Earths planets
- Sensitivity Analyses of Exoplanet Occurrence Rates from Kepler and Gaia
- A Multi-Year Search For Transits Of Proxima Centauri. I: Light Curves Corresponding To Published Ephemerides
- A close-in puffy Neptune with hidden friends: The enigma of TOI 620
- Revisiting the HD 21749 Planetary System with Stellar Activity Modeling
- A Geologically Robust Procedure For Observing Rocky Exoplanets to Ensure that Detection of Atmospheric Oxygen is an Earth-Like Biosignature
- Formation of Planetary Populations III: Core Composition & Atmospheric Evaporation
- Stellar activity and planetary atmosphere evolution in tight binary star systems
- Three small transiting planets around the M dwarf host star LP 358-499
- Unveiling the Planet Population at Birth
- Ground-based Transit Observation of the Habitable-zone Super-Earth K2-3d
- Multiverse Predictions for Habitability: Fraction of Planets that Develop Life
- Effects of Planetesimal Accretion on the Thermal and Structural Evolution of Sub-Neptunes
- Characterisation of TOI-406 as showcase of the THIRSTEE program: A 2-planet system straddling the M-dwarf density gap
- Observational constraints on the formation and evolution of Neptune-class exoplanets
- A hot mini-Neptune and a temperate, highly eccentric sub-Saturn around the bright K-dwarf TOI-2134
- The independent discovery of planet candidates around low mass stars and astrophysical false positives from the first two TESS sectors
- Earth: a 3.14-day Earth-sized Planet from 's Kitchen Served Warm by the SPECULOOS Team
- Kepler-62f: Kepler's First Small Planet in the Habitable Zone, but Is It Real?
- TOI-4336 A b: A temperate sub-Neptune ripe for atmospheric characterization in a nearby triple M-dwarf system
- Estimating Planetary Mass with Deep Learning
- Monitoring of the D Doublet of Neutral Sodium during Transits of Two "Evaporating" Planets
- Transit least-squares survey -- III. A transit candidate in the habitable zone of Kepler-160 and a nontransiting planet characterized by transit-timing variations
- A primordial radius valley as a consequence of planet formation
- Characteristics of aquatic biospheres on temperate planets around Sun-like stars and M-dwarfs
- Potential Interior Structures and Habitability of Super-Earth Exoplanets LHS 1140 b, K2-18 b, TOI-1452 b and TOI-1468 c
- Calibrating Iodine Cells for Precise Radial Velocities
- A Gap in the Densities of Small Planets Orbiting M Dwarfs: Rigorous Statistical Confirmation Using the Open-source Code RhoPop
- A 2 Earth Radius Planet Orbiting the Bright Nearby K-Dwarf Wolf 503
- Identifying Exo-Earth Candidates in Direct Imaging Data through Bayesian Classification
- The Fine Structure Constant and Habitable Planets
- K2-79b and K2-222b: Mass measurements of two small exoplanets with periods beyond 10 days that overlap with periodic magnetic activity signals
- Orbital Evolution of Close-in Super-Earths Driven by Atmospheric Escape
- Blowin' in the non-isothermal wind: core-powered mass loss with hydrodynamic radiative transfer
- Not All Sub-Neptune Exoplanets Have Magma Oceans
- A transiting super-Earth close to the inner edge of the habitable zone of an M0 dwarf star
- Orbital Migration through Atmospheric Mass Loss
- The GALAH Survey: Improving our understanding of confirmed and candidate planetary systems with large stellar surveys
- Can Rocky Exoplanets with Rings Pose as Sub-Neptunes?
- Chasing Nomadic Worlds: A New Class of Deep Space Missions
- Characterization of Low Mass K2 Planet Hosts Using Near-Infrared Spectroscopy
- Coupled Thermal-Chemical Evolution Models of Sub-Neptunes Reveal Atmospheric Signatures of Their Formation Location
- Small and Close-In Planets are Uncommon Around A-type Stars
- Kepler-102: Masses and Compositions for a Super-Earth and Sub-Neptune Orbiting an Active Star
- Searching the Entirety of Kepler Data. I. 17 New Planet Candidates Including 1 Habitable Zone World
- A super-Earth and a mini-Neptune around Kepler-59
- A New Planet in the Kepler-159 System From Transit Timing Variations
- Kepler's Last Planet Discoveries: Two New Planets and One Single-Transit Candidate from K2 Campaign 19
- Identifying interesting planetary systems for future X-ray observations
- Formation of Super-Earths
- One of Everything: The Breakthrough Listen Exotica Catalog
- TESS Discovery of Twin Planets near 2:1 Resonance around Early M-Dwarf TOI 4342
- Impact of Planetary Parameters on Water Clouds Microphysics
- Walking on exoplanets: Is Star Wars right?
- Discovery and Characterization of Kepler-36b
- Super-Earth masses and stellar abundances from NIRPS reveal tentative evidence for water-rich formation around M dwarfs
- The Robo-AO KOI Survey: laser adaptive optics imaging of every Kepler exoplanet candidate
- Temperate super-Earths/mini-Neptunes around M/K dwarfs Consist of 2 Populations Distinguished by Their Atmospheres
- K2, Spitzer, and TESS Transits of Four Sub-Neptune Exoplanets
- Probing the Limits of Habitability: A Catalog of Rocky Exoplanets in the Habitable Zone
- Validation of a Temperate Fourth Planet in the K2-133 Multi-planet System
- Three young planets around the K-dwarf K2-198: High-energy environment, evaporation history and expected future
- Disentangling Blended K2 Photometry: Determining the Planetary Host Star
- Ground-based Atmospheric Characterization of Super-Earth L 98-59 d at High Spectral Resolution
- The Dynamical Viability of an Extended Jupiter Ring System
- No Robust Statistical Evidence for a Population of Water Worlds in a 2025 Sample of Planets Orbiting M Stars
- The Science Case for an Extended Spitzer Mission
- TOI-7166 b: A Habitable Zone mini-Neptune planet around a nearby low-mass star
- Mass Derivation of planets K2-21b and K2-21c from Transit Timing Variations
- Exploring the habitability and interior composition of exoplanets lying within the extended habitable zone
- The architecture of multi-planet systems as a tracer of their formation mechanisms
- On the Utility of Transmission Color Analysis I: Differentiating Super-Earths and Sub-Neptunes
- Ohmic dissipation during the formation of super-Earth
- On the Ordering of Exoplanet Systems
- A Cool Earth-sized Planet Candidate Transiting a Tenth Magnitude K-dwarf From K2
- Gas-depleted planet formation occurred in the four-planet system around the red dwarf LHS 1903
- A distant brown dwarf coplanar to a warm Jupiter and a hot super-Earth
- A Validated Low-to-Intermediate Mass Planetary Interior Structure Model and New Mass-Radius Relations
- Evolution and Observable Properties of Rocky Planet Atmospheres
- Probabilistic inference of basic stellar parameters: application to flickering stars
- Uncovering the Rapidly Evolving Orbits of the Dynamic TOI-201 System
- The Implications of 'Oumuamua on Panspermia
- TOI-1201 b: A mini-Neptune transiting a bright and moderately young M dwarf
- Split Peas in a Pod: Intra-System Uniformity of Super-Earths and Sub-Neptunes
- L 98-59: a Benchmark System of Small Planets for Future Atmospheric Characterization
- Impact of Clouds on the Atmosphere-Mantle Interface of Sub-Neptunes
- What the Solar System Can Teach Us About Rocky Exoplanets
- NIRPS tightens the mass estimate of GJ 3090 b and detects a planet near the stellar rotation period
- Using observations of escaping H/He to constrain the atmospheric composition of sub-Neptunes
- Chemical diversity of the atmospheres and interiors of sub-Neptunes: a case study of GJ 436 b