On the evolution of the Hubble constant with the SNe Ia Pantheon Sample and Baryon Acoustic Oscillations: a feasibility study for GRB-cosmology in 2030

Abstract

The difference from 4 to 6 $\sigma$ in the Hubble constant ($H_0$) between the values observed with the local (Cepheids and Supernovae Ia, SNe Ia) and the high-z probes (CMB obtained by the Planck data) still challenges the astrophysics and cosmology community. Previous analysis has shown that there is an evolution in the Hubble constant that scales as $f(z)={\mathcal{H}}_0/(1+z{)}^{\eta }$, where ${\mathcal{H}}_0$ is $H_0(z=0)$ and $\eta$ is the evolutionary parameter. Here, we investigate if this evolution still holds by using the SNe Ia gathered in the Pantheon sample and the BAOs. We assume $H_0=70{\text{km s}}^{-1}{\text{Mpc}}^{-1}$ as the local value and divide the Pantheon into 3 bins ordered in increasing values of redshift. Similar to our previous analysis but varying two cosmological parameters contemporaneously ($H_0$, ${\Omega }_{0m}$ in the $\Lambda$CDM model and $H_0$, $w_a$ in the $w_0{w}_a$CDM model), for each bin we implement a MCMC analysis obtaining the value of $H_0$ $[...]$. Subsequently, the values of $H_0$ are fitted with the model $f(z)$. Our results show that a decreasing trend with $\eta \sim 10^{-2}$ is still visible in this sample. The $\eta$ coefficient reaches zero in 2.0 $\sigma$ for the $\Lambda$CDM model up to 5.8 $\sigma$ for $w_0{w}_a$CDM model. This trend, if not due to statistical fluctuations, could be explained through a hidden astrophysical bias, such as the effect of stretch evolution, or it requires new theoretical models, a possible proposition is the modified gravity theories, $f(R)$ $[...]$. This work is also a preparatory to understand how the combined probes still show an evolution of the $H_0$ by redshift and what is the current status of simulations on GRB cosmology to obtain the uncertainties on the ${\Omega }_{0m}$ comparable with the ones achieved through SNe Ia.

arXiv comment45 pages, 6 figures, 3 tables, added references, final version after proofs corrections, published in Galaxies

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• Unveiling the Universe with Emerging Cosmological Probes
• Addressing the $H_0$ tension through matter with pressure and no early dark energy
• A proposal to improve the accuracy of cosmological observables and address the Hubble tension problem
• Addressing the $r_d$ Tension using Late-Time Observational Measurements in a Novel deceleration Parametrization
• Evidence for evolving dark energy from DESI DR2 BAO and Pantheon${}^{+}$, DES-Dovekie, and Union3
• Scrutinizing coupled vector dark energy in light of data
• Decay of dark energy into dark matter in a metric $f(R)$ gravity: effective running Hubble constant
• Climbing out of the shadows: building the distance ladder with black hole images
• Galaxy spin direction asymmetry in JWST deep fields
• Dynamics of Inspiraling Dark Energy
• Evidence for the dynamical dark energy with evolving Hubble constant
• Addressing the DESI DR2 Phantom-Crossing Anomaly and Enhanced $H_0$ Tension with Reconstructed Scalar-Tensor Gravity
• The Hubble tension from the standpoint of quantum cosmology
• Redshift evolution of the Hubble constant: Constraints and new insights from an interacting dark energy model
• Another look on the connections of Hubble tension with the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
• Constraints on the phase transition of Early Dark Energy with the CMB anisotropies
• Can Hubble tension be eased by invoking a finite range for gravity?
• Probing for Lorentz Invariance Violation in Pantheon Plus Dominated Cosmology
• On the Metric $f(R)$ gravity Viability in Accounting for the Binned Supernovae Data
• Emergence of smooth distance and apparent magnitude in a lumpy Universe
• Revisiting the Hubble constant, sound horizon and cosmography from late-time Universe observations
• Hubble Tension and Dark Energy in Teleparallel Gauss-Bonnet Gravity: New Constraints from DESI BAO, Pantheon${}^{+}$ and Hubble Data
• Hubble Tension in Power-Law f(R) Gravity and Generalized Brans-Dicke Theory
• Kernel-, mean- and noise-marginalised Gaussian processes for exoplanet transits and $H_0$ inference
• Analytic Solutions of Scalar Field Cosmology, Mathematical Structures for Early Inflation and Late Time Accelerated Expansion
• Remarks on overestimating the effects of inhomogeneities on the Hubble constant
• Multi-Model Framework for Reconstructing Gamma-Ray Burst Light Curves
• A Review on Resolving the Hubble Tension via Late-Universe Physics
• Alleviating the Hubble tension with Torsion Condensation (TorC)
• Signature of $f\left(R\right)$ gravity via Lemaître-Tolman-Bondi inhomogeneous perturbations
• Constraining the Hubble parameter with the 21 cm brightness temperature signal in a universe with inhomogeneities
• Dark energy from a geometrical gauge scalar-tensor theory of gravity
• Gamma-Ray Burst Light Curve Reconstruction: A Comparative Machine and Deep Learning Analysis
• Gamma-Ray Bursts, Supernovae Ia and Baryon Acoustic Oscillations: a binned cosmological analysis
• Modifying $\Lambda$CDM dynamics via out-of-equilibrium axions: reconciling SH0ES and DESI $H_0$ values
• Theoretical and observational constraints on early dark energy in $F(R)$ gravity
• Explaining lepton-flavor non-universality and self-interacting dark matter with $L_{\mu }-L_{\tau }$
• Revisiting the Matter Creation Process: Observational Constraints on Gravitationally Induced Dark Energy and the Hubble Tension
• Viscous matter in modified $f(R)$-gravity: Hubble tension attenuation with DESI and SH0ES data
• Sample Variance for Supernovae Distance Measurements and the Hubble tension