Constraints on the Hubble constant from Supernova Refsdal's reappearance

Abstract

The gravitationally lensed Supernova Refsdal appeared in multiple images, produced through gravitational lensing by a massive foreground galaxy cluster. After the supernova appeared in 2014, lens models of the galaxy cluster predicted an additional image of the supernova would appear in 2015, which was subsequently observed. We use the time delays between the images to perform a blinded measurement of the expansion rate of the Universe, quantified by the Hubble constant (H0). Using eight cluster lens models, we infer H0 = 64.8 +4.4-4.3 km / s / Mpc, where Mpc is the megaparsec. Using the two models most consistent with the observations, we find H0 = 66.6 +4.1-3.3 km / s / Mpc. The observations are best reproduced by models that assign dark-matter halos to individual galaxies and the overall cluster.

arXiv commentPublished in Science on May 11, 2023; this version updated to reflect minor edits to galley proofs. Companion paper presenting time-delay and relative magnification measurements published in ApJ (DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/ac4ccb)

References in corpus (51)

• A Comprehensive Measurement of the Local Value of the Hubble Constant with 1 km/s/Mpc Uncertainty from the Hubble Space Telescope and the SH0ES Team
• Tensions between the Early and the Late Universe
• Cluster Lensing And Supernova survey with Hubble (CLASH): An Overview
• The Carnegie-Chicago Hubble Program. VIII. An Independent Determination of the Hubble Constant Based on the Tip of the Red Giant Branch
• The Frontier Fields: Survey Design
• MACS: A quest for the most massive galaxy clusters in the universe
• TDCOSMO IV: Hierarchical time-delay cosmography -- joint inference of the Hubble constant and galaxy density profiles
• H0LiCOW - IX. Cosmographic analysis of the doubly imaged quasar SDSS 1206+4332 and a new measurement of the Hubble constant
• The Megamaser Cosmology Project. XIII. Combined Hubble constant constraints
• The Mass Distribution of SDSS J1004+4112 Revisited
• Multiple Images of a Highly Magnified Supernova Formed by an Early-Type Cluster Galaxy Lens
• Weighing the Giants - I. Weak-lensing masses for 51 massive galaxy clusters: project overview, data analysis methods and cluster images
• Weighing the Giants - III. Methods and Measurements of Accurate Galaxy Cluster Weak-Lensing Masses
• Dark Energy Survey Year 1 Results: A Precise H0 Measurement from DES Y1, BAO, and D/H Data
• iPTF16geu: A multiply imaged, gravitationally lensed type Ia supernova
• STRIDES: a 3.9 per cent measurement of the Hubble constant from the strong lens system DES J0408-5354
• Time Delay Cosmography
• Cosmology from gravitational lens time delays and Planck data
• The Frontier Fields Lens Modeling Comparison Project
• TDCOSMO. I. An exploration of systematic uncertainties in the inference of $H_0$ from time-delay cosmography
• H0LiCOW IV. Lens mass model of HE 0435-1223 and blind measurement of its time-delay distance for cosmology
• CLASH: The enhanced lensing efficiency of the highly elongated merging cluster MACS J0416.1-2403
• Precise Strong Lensing Mass Modeling of Four Hubble Frontier Fields Clusters and a Sample of Magnified High-Redshift Galaxies
• New Multiply-Lensed Galaxies Identified in ACS/NIC3 Observations of Cl0024+1654 Using an Improved Mass Model
• The Hubble Constant from Infrared Surface Brightness Fluctuation Distances
• Strong gravitational lensing of explosive transients
• COSMOGRAIL: the COSmological MOnitoring of GRAvItational Lenses XIII: Time delays and 9-yr optical monitoring of the lensed quasar RX J1131-1231
• A new measurement of the Hubble constant using Type Ia supernovae calibrated with surface brightness fluctuations
• Focusing Cosmic Telescopes: Exploring Redshift z~5-6 Galaxies with the Bullet Cluster 1E0657-56
• The story of supernova 'Refsdal' told by MUSE
• "Refsdal" meets Popper: comparing predictions of the re-appearance of the multiply imaged supernova behind MACSJ1149.5+2223
• Deja Vu All Over Again: The Reappearance of Supernova Refsdal
• A New Hybrid Framework to Efficiently Model Lines of Sight to Gravitational Lenses
• Measuring the value of the Hubble constant "à la Refsdal"
• Gravitational lens time delays for distant supernovae: break the degeneracy between radial mass profiles and the Hubble constant
• Hubble Frontier Fields: Predictions for the Return of SN Refsdal with the MUSE and GMOS Spectrographs
• Discovery of the largest known lensed images formed by a critically convergent lensing cluster
• Weighing the Giants II: Improved Calibration of Photometry from Stellar Colors and Accurate Photometric Redshifts
• Microlensing of Lensed Supernovae
• SN Refsdal : Photometry and Time Delay Measurements of the First Einstein Cross Supernova
• A Free-Form Prediction for the Reappearance of Supernova Refsdal in the Hubble Frontier Fields Cluster MACSJ1149.5+2223
• On the accuracy of time-delay cosmography in the Frontier Fields Cluster MACS J1149.5+2223 with supernova Refsdal
• Revised Lens Model for the Multiply-Imaged Lensed Supernova, "SN Refsdal", in MACS J1149+2223
• The Grism Lens-Amplified Survey from Space (GLASS). IV. Mass reconstruction of the lensing cluster Abell 2744 from frontier field imaging and GLASS spectroscopy
• The Hubble constant from SN Refsdal
• MACS J0416.1-2403: Impact of line-of-sight structures on strong gravitational lensing modelling of galaxy clusters
• Astrometric requirements for strong lensing time-delay cosmography
• The Magnificent Five Images of Supernova Refsdal: Time Delay and Magnification Measurements
• The role of multiple images and model priors in measuring $H_0$ from supernova Refsdal in galaxy cluster MACS J1149.5+2223
• The rates and time-delay distribution of multiply imaged supernovae behind lensing clusters
• Lessons from the first multiply imaged supernova II: A parametric strong-lensing model for the galaxy cluster MACS J1149.5+2223

Cited by in corpus (52)

• The CosmoVerse White Paper: Addressing observational tensions in cosmology with systematics and fundamental physics
• Lensed Type Ia Supernova "Encore" at z=2: The First Instance of Two Multiply-Imaged Supernovae in the Same Host Galaxy
• $\Lambda$CDM Tensions: Localising Missing Physics through Consistency Checks
• Strong gravitational lensing and microlensing of supernovae
• Cosmography with Supernova Refsdal through time-delay cluster lensing: independent measurements of the Hubble constant and geometry of the Universe
• Return of Harrison-Zeldovich spectrum in light of recent cosmological tensions
• JWST Photometric Time-Delay and Magnification Measurements for the Triply-Imaged Type Ia "Supernova H0pe" at z = 1.78
• TDCOSMO 2025: Cosmological constraints from strong lensing time delays
• The Magnificent Five Images of Supernova Refsdal: Time Delay and Magnification Measurements
• No rungs attached: A distance-ladder free determination of the Hubble constant through type II supernova spectral modelling
• The redshift dependence of the inferred $H_0$ in a local void solution to the Hubble tension
• Does DESI DR2 challenge $\Lambda$CDM paradigm ?
• TDCOSMO. XVI. Measurement of the Hubble Constant from the Lensed Quasar WGD2038$-$4008
• TDCOSMO XV: Population Analysis of Lines of Sight of 25 Strong Galaxy-Galaxy Lenses with Extreme Value Statistics
• Cosmology with supernova Encore in the strong lensing cluster MACS J0138-2155: Lens model comparison and H0 measurement
• J1721+8842: The first Einstein zig-zag lens
• Exploiting the diversity of modeling methods to probe systematic biases in strong lensing analyses
• Determining Cosmological-model-independent $H_0$ with Gravitationally Lensed Supernova Refsdal
• El Gordo needs El Anzuelo: Probing the structure of cluster members with multi-band extended arcs in JWST data
• Detecting unresolved lensed SNe Ia in LSST using blended light curves
• Challenges and Opportunities for time-delay cosmography with multi-messenger gravitational lensing
• Evidence for evolving dark energy from DESI DR2 BAO and Pantheon${}^{+}$, DES-Dovekie, and Union3
• Faster than SAM: An empirical model for the tidal evolution of dark matter substructure around strong gravitational lenses
• Enhanced strong-lensing model of MACS~J0138.0$-$2155 based on new JWST and VLT/MUSE observations
• LensWatch. II. Improved Photometry and Time-delay Constraints on the Strongly Lensed Type Ia Supernova 2022qmx ("SN Zwicky") with HST Template Observations
• Testing the local supervoid solution to the Hubble tension with direct distance tracers
• The Formulation of Scaling Expansion in an Euler-Poisson Dark-fluid Model
• GausSN: Bayesian Time-Delay Estimation for Strongly Lensed Supernovae
• A Hubble Constant Determination Through Quasar Time Delays and Type Ia Supernovae
• CURLING -- II. Improvement on the $H_0$ Inference from Pixelized Cluster Strong Lens Modeling
• A Targeted Search for Variable Gravitationally Lensed Quasars
• Microlensing of dark matter models in the Milky Way
• ParamANN: A Neural Network to Estimate Cosmological Parameters for $\Lambda$CDM Universe Using Hubble Measurements
• Searching for strong lensing by late-type galaxies in UNIONS
• HOLISMOKES XVI: Lens search in HSC-PDR3 with a neural network committee and post-processing for false-positive removal
• HOLISMOKES -- XIV. Time-delay and differential dust extinction determination with lensed type II supernova color curves
• Parameter free Hubble constant from the quadruply lensed quasar SDSS J1004 + 4112
• Testing Lens Models of PLCK G165.7+67.0 Using Lensed SN H0pe
• A Joint Analysis of Strong Lensing and Type Ia Supernovae to Determine the Hubble Constant
• A compact group lens modeled with GIGA-Lens: Enhanced inference for complex systems
• A Review on Resolving the Hubble Tension via Late-Universe Physics
• The Case for Space: Estimating Precise Time Delays from Ground- and Space-Based Observations of Lensed Supernovae with Glimpse
• HerS-3: An Exceptional Einstein Cross Reveals a Massive Dark Matter Halo
• The radio afterglow of the ultra-long GRB 220627A
• Confirming HSC strong lens candidates with DESI Spectroscopy. I. Project overview and first results
• Detection of Unresolved Strongly Lensed Supernovae with 7-Dimensional Telescope
• Strong gravitational lensing with Euclid
• The impact of ultraviolet suppression on the rates and properties of strongly lensed Type IIn supernovae detected by LSST
• Caustic area biases and how to deal with them
• HOLISMOKES -- XVIII. Cosmology with strongly lensed type II supernovae: Effects of instrumental setups on $H_0$
• Gravitational lensing of fast radio bursts: prospects for probing microlens populations in lensing galaxies
• A New Era for Supernova Science with the James Webb Space Telescope