Flux Transport Dynamo: From Modelling Irregularities to Making Predictions
arXiv:1808.08550 · doi:10.1016/j.jastp.2017.08.002
Abstract
The flux transport dynamo, in which the poloidal magnetic field is generated by the Babcock--Leighton mechanism and the meridional circulation plays a crucial role, has emerged as an attractive model for the solar cycle. Based on theoretical calculations done with this model, we argue that the fluctuations in the Babcock--Leighton mechanism and the fluctuations in the meridional circulation are the most likely causes of the irregularities of the solar cycle. With our increased theoretical understanding of how these irregularities arise, it can be possible to predict a future solar cycle by feeding the appropriate observational data in a theoretical dynamo model.
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Cited by in corpus (4)
- Magnetic field dependence of bipolar magnetic region tilts on the Sun: Indication of tilt quenching
- A New Formula for Predicting Solar Cycles
- Supercriticality of the dynamo limits the memory of the polar field to one cycle
- Subcritical dynamo and hysteresis in a Babcock-Leighton type kinematic dynamo model