A recipe for EFT uncertainty quantification in nuclear physics
arXiv:1407.0657 · doi:10.1088/0954-3899/42/3/034028
Abstract
The application of effective field theory (EFT) methods to nuclear systems provides the opportunity to rigorously estimate the uncertainties originating in the nuclear Hamiltonian. Yet this is just one source of uncertainty in the observables predicted by calculations based on nuclear EFTs. We discuss the goals of uncertainty quantification in such calculations and outline a recipe to obtain statistically meaningful error bars for their predictions. We argue that the different sources of theory error can be accounted for within a Bayesian framework, as we illustrate using a toy model.
Final version for JPhysG Focus issue "Enhancing the interaction between nuclear experiment and theory through information and statistics"
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