202 citations · 1.1k across the 30 of their papers we have counts for
30 papers
Towards a Fully Automated Pipeline for Short-Term Forecasting of In Situ Coronal Mass Ejection Magnetic Field Structure
Hannah T. Rüdisser, Emma E. Davies, Ute V. Amerstorfer +6
We present an automated pipeline for operational short-term forecasting of coronal mass ejection (CME) magnetic field structure at L1, coupling arrival time prediction, in situ det…
Flux rope modeling of the 2022 Sep 5 CME observed by Parker Solar Probe and Solar Orbiter from 0.07 to 0.69 au
Emma E. Davies, Hannah T. Rüdisser, Ute V. Amerstorfer +19
As both Parker Solar Probe (PSP) and Solar Orbiter (SolO) reach heliocentric distances closer to the Sun, they present an exciting opportunity to study the structure of CMEs in the…
Which Upstream Solar Wind Conditions Matter Most in Predicting Bz within Coronal Mass Ejections
Pete Riley, M. A. Reiss, C. Mostl
Accurately predicting the z-component of the interplanetary magnetic field, particularly during the passage of an interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME), is a crucial objectiv…
Automatic Detection of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections in Solar Wind In Situ Data
Hannah T. Rüdisser, Andreas Windisch, Ute V. Amerstorfer +4
Interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) are one of the main drivers for space weather disturbances. In the past, different approaches have been used to automatically detect e…
Writhed Analytical Magnetic Flux Rope Model
Andreas J. Weiss, Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla, Christian Möstl +3
Observations of magnetic clouds, within interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), are often well described by flux rope models. Most of these assume either a cylindrical or to…
Unifying the Validation of Ambient Solar Wind Models
Martin A. Reiss, Karin Muglach, Richard Mullinix +18
Progress in space weather research and awareness needs community-wide strategies and procedures to evaluate our modeling assets. Here we present the activities of the Ambient Solar…
Forecasting GICs and geoelectric fields from solar wind data using LSTMs: application in Austria
R. L. Bailey, R. Leonhardt, C. Möstl +4
The forecasting of local GIC effects has largely relied on the forecasting of dB/dt as a proxy and, to date, little attention has been paid to directly forecasting the geoelectric…
Multipoint interplanetary coronal mass ejections observed with Solar Orbiter, BepiColombo, Parker Solar Probe, Wind and STEREO-A
C. Möstl, A. J. Weiss, M. A. Reiss +12
We report the result of the first search for multipoint in situ and imaging observations of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) starting with the first Solar Orbiter (Sol…
Drag-based CME modeling with heliospheric images incorporating frontal deformation: ELEvoHI 2.0
J. Hinterreiter, T. Amerstorfer, M. Temmer +7
The evolution and propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in interplanetary space is still not well understood. As a consequence, accurate arrival time and arrival speed forec…
Predicting CMEs using ELEvoHI with STEREO-HI beacon data
Maike Bauer, Tanja Amerstorfer, Jürgen Hinterreiter +6
Being able to accurately predict the arrival of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) at Earth has been a long-standing problem in space weather research and operations. In this study, we…
Machine learning for predicting the Bz magnetic field component from upstream in situ observations of solar coronal mass ejections
Martin A. Reiss, Christian Möstl, Rachel L. Bailey +6
Predicting the Bz magnetic field embedded within ICMEs, also known as the Bz problem, is a key challenge in space weather forecasting. We study the hypothesis that upstream in situ…
The Observational Uncertainty of Coronal Hole Boundaries in Automated Detection Schemes
Martin A. Reiss, Karin Muglach, Christian Möstl +16
Coronal holes are the observational manifestation of the solar magnetic field open to the heliosphere and are of pivotal importance for our understanding of the origin and accelera…
Multi point analysis of coronal mass ejection flux ropes using combined data from Solar Orbiter, BepiColombo and Wind
A. J. Weiss, C. Moestl, E. E. Davies +15
The recent launch of Solar Orbiter and BepiColombo opened a brief window in which these two spacecraft were positioned in a constellation that allows for the detailed sampling of a…
Why are ELEvoHI CME arrival predictions different if based on STEREO-A or STEREO-B heliospheric imager observations?
Jürgen Hinterreiter, Tanja Amerstorfer, Martin A. Reiss +9
Accurate forecasting of the arrival time and arrival speed of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a unsolved problem in space weather research. In this study, a comparison of the pred…
Analysis of coronal mass ejection flux rope signatures using 3DCORE and approximate Bayesian Computation
Andreas J. Weiss, Christian Möstl, Tanja Amerstorfer +5
We present a major update to the 3D coronal rope ejection (3DCORE) technique for modeling coronal mass ejection flux ropes in conjunction with an Approximate Bayesian Computation (…
Evaluation of CME Arrival Prediction Using Ensemble Modeling Based on Heliospheric Imaging Observations
Tanja Amerstorfer, Jürgen Hinterreiter, Martin A. Reiss +8
In this study, we evaluate a coronal mass ejection (CME) arrival prediction tool that utilizes the wide-angle observations made by STEREO's heliospheric imagers (HI). The unsurpass…
Prediction of the in situ coronal mass ejection rate for solar cycle 25: Implications for Parker Solar Probe in situ observations
Christian Möstl, Andreas J. Weiss, Rachel L. Bailey +7
The Parker Solar Probe (PSP) and Solar Orbiter missions are designed to make groundbreaking observations of the Sun and interplanetary space within this decade. We show that a part…
Using gradient boosting regression to improve ambient solar wind model predictions
R. L. Bailey, M. A. Reiss, C. N. Arge +7
Studying the ambient solar wind, a continuous pressure-driven plasma flow emanating from our Sun, is an important component of space weather research. The ambient solar wind flows…
Prediction of Dst during solar minimum using in situ measurements at L5
R. L. Bailey, C. Möstl, M. A. Reiss +6
Geomagnetic storms resulting from high-speed streams can have significant negative impacts on modern infrastructure due to complex interactions between the solar wind and geomagnet…
Forecasting the Ambient Solar Wind with Numerical Models. II. An Adaptive Prediction System for Specifying Solar Wind Speed Near the Sun
Martin A. Reiss, Peter J. MacNeice, Karin Muglach +8
The ambient solar wind flows and fields influence the complex propagation dynamics of coronal mass ejections in the interplanetary medium and play an essential role in shaping Eart…
Forecasting the Ambient Solar Wind with Numerical Models: I. On the Implementation of an Operational Framework
Martin A. Reiss, Peter J. MacNeice, Leila M. Mays +4
The ambient solar wind conditions in interplanetary space and in the near-Earth environment are determined by activity on the Sun. Steady solar wind streams modulate the propagatio…
Coronal hole evolution from multi-viewpoint data as input for a STEREO solar wind speed persistence model
M. Temmer, J. Hinterreiter, M. A. Reiss
We present a concept study of a solar wind forecasting method for Earth, based on persistence modeling from STEREO in-situ measurements combined with multi-viewpoint EUV observatio…
Ensemble Prediction of a Halo Coronal Mass Ejection Using Heliospheric Imagers
T. Amerstorfer, C. Möstl, P. Hess +5
The Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO) and its heliospheric imagers (HI) have provided us the possibility to enhance our understanding of the interplanetary propagati…
Modeling observations of solar coronal mass ejections with heliospheric imagers verified with the Heliophysics System Observatory
C. Möstl, A. Isavnin, P. D. Boakes +18
We present an advance towards accurately predicting the arrivals of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) at the terrestrial planets, including Earth. For the first time, we are able to as…