63 citations · 76 across the 2 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers
math.ST2011
Combining Predictive Distributions
Tilmann Gneiting, Roopesh Ranjan
Predictive distributions need to be aggregated when probabilistic forecasts are merged, or when expert opinions expressed in terms of probability distributions are fused. We take a…
stat.AP2010★ 13 cited
Predicting Inflation: Professional Experts Versus No-Change Forecasts
Tilmann Gneiting, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir
We compare forecasts of United States inflation from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) to predictions made by simple statistical techniques. In nowcasting, economic expe…
stat.AP2009★ 63 cited
Probabilistic quantitative precipitation field forecasting using a two-stage spatial model
Veronica J. Berrocal, Adrian E. Raftery, Tilmann Gneiting
Short-range forecasts of precipitation fields are needed in a wealth of agricultural, hydrological, ecological and other applications. Forecasts from numerical weather prediction m…