449 citations · 2.1k across the 35 of their papers we have counts for
4 papers · 1 filter
Copula Calibration
Johanna F. Ziegel, Tilmann Gneiting
We propose notions of calibration for probabilistic forecasts of general multivariate quantities. Probabilistic copula calibration is a natural analogue of probabilistic calibratio…
Uncertainty Quantification in Complex Simulation Models Using Ensemble Copula Coupling
Roman Schefzik, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Tilmann Gneiting
Critical decisions frequently rely on high-dimensional output from complex computer simulation models that show intricate cross-variable, spatial and temporal dependence structures…
Section on the special year for mathematics of planet earth (MPE 2013)
Tilmann Gneiting
Dozens of research centers, foundations, international organizations and scientific societies, including the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, have joined forces to celebrate 2…
Using proper divergence functions to evaluate climate models
Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Tilmann Gneiting, Nadine Gissibl
It has been argued persuasively that, in order to evaluate climate models, the probability distributions of model output need to be compared to the corresponding empirical distribu…