449 citations · 2.1k across the 35 of their papers we have counts for
Showing 2021Show all
2 papers · 1 filter
stat.ME2021★ 48 cited
Regression Diagnostics meets Forecast Evaluation: Conditional Calibration, Reliability Diagrams, and Coefficient of Determination
Tilmann Gneiting, Johannes Resin
Model diagnostics and forecast evaluation are two sides of the same coin. A common principle is that fitted or predicted distributions ought to be calibrated or reliable, ideally i…
math.ST2021★ 6 cited
Comparative evaluation of point process forecasts
Jonas Brehmer, Tilmann Gneiting, Marcus Herrmann +3
Stochastic models of point patterns in space and time are widely used to issue forecasts or assess risk, and often they affect societally relevant decisions. We adapt the concept o…