paper

An Independent Search for Small Long-period Planets in Kepler Data I: Detection Pipeline

arXiv:2501.03019 · doi:10.3847/1538-3881/adfc50

Abstract

The unprecedented photometric precision of Kepler mission allows searching for Earth-like planets. However, it remains difficult to distinguish these low signal-to-noise planets from the false alarms originating from correlated and non-Gaussian noise. It reduces the resulting planetary catalog reliability and makes it hard to measure the occurrence rate of small long-period planets. We aim to obtain a more reliable catalog of small long-period planet candidates from Kepler data and use it to improve their occurrence rate estimate. This work develops an independent search pipeline for small (Kepler Multiple-Event Statistic, MES12) long-period (50-500 days) planets. It designs and implements a detection statistic that takes into account noise non-Gaussianity and physical prior. For every threshold-crossing event, it runs permutation and injection procedures to calculate the probability of it being caused by a real planet. The provided detection statistic has a tail-less background distribution with a rate of ~1 false alarm per search for MES~7.8. We demonstrate the increase in detection efficiency for MES of ~7.5-9 and 4 transits due to the background distribution control. The pipeline was tested to be able to detect most of the faint Confirmed Kepler planets. The pipeline was applied to the entirety of Kepler data and detected ~50 candidate events with a high probability of originating from real planets, which will be presented in our future work.

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