Signatures of primordial black holes in gravitational wave clustering

Abstract

The possible existence of primordial black holes (PBHs) is an open question in modern cosmology. Among the probes to test it, gravitational waves (GW) coming from their mergers constitute a powerful tool. In this work, we study how stellar mass PBH binaries could affect measurements of the clustering of merger events in future GW surveys. We account for PBH binaries formed both in the early and late Universe and show that the power spectrum modification they introduce can be detected at $\sim 2\sigma -3\sigma$ (depending on some assumptions) whenever PBH mergers make up at least $\sim 60\%$ of the overall number of detected events. By adding cross-correlations with galaxy surveys, this threshold is lowered to $\sim 40\%$. In the case of a poor redshift determination of GW sources, constraints are degraded by about a factor of 2. Assuming a theoretical model for the PBH merger rate, we can convert our results to constraints on the fraction of dark matter in PBHs, $f_{\mathrm{PBH}}$. Finally, we perform a Bayesian model selection forecast and confirm that the analysis we develop could be able to detect $\sim 30M_{\odot }$ PBHs if they account for $f_{\mathrm{PBH}}\sim 10^{-4}-10^{-3}$, depending on the model uncertainty considered, being thus competitive with other probes.

arXiv comment41 pages, 17 figures, 4 tables. Accepted for publication on JCAP

References in corpus (105)

• Cosmic Star Formation History
• GWTC-1: A Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog of Compact Binary Mergers Observed by LIGO and Virgo during the First and Second Observing Runs
• GWTC-2: Compact Binary Coalescences Observed by LIGO and Virgo During the First Half of the Third Observing Run
• Did LIGO detect dark matter?
• Science Case for the Einstein Telescope
• New cosmological constraints on primordial black holes
• Binary Black Hole Mergers in the first Advanced LIGO Observing Run
• Primordial Black Holes as Dark Matter
• Common Envelope Evolution: Where we stand and how we can move forward
• The Large Scale Bias of Dark Matter Halos: Numerical Calibration and Model Tests
• Limits on the Macho Content of the Galactic Halo from the EROS-2 Survey of the Magellanic Clouds
• Primordial Black Holes - Perspectives in Gravitational Wave Astronomy -
• The primordial density perturbation in the curvaton scenario
• Black holes, gravitational waves and fundamental physics: a roadmap
• Primordial Black Holes
• Scientific Objectives of Einstein Telescope
• The linear power spectrum of observed source number counts
• The merger rate of primordial-black-hole binaries
• Prospects for Fundamental Physics with LISA
• Gravitational Waves from Coalescing Black Hole MACHO Binaries
• MACHO Project Limits on Black Hole Dark Matter in the 1-30 Solar Mass Range
• Constraints on MACHO Dark Matter from Compact Stellar Systems in Ultra-Faint Dwarf Galaxies
• Computations of primordial black hole formation
• Black Hole Relics and Inflation: Limits on Blue Perturbation Spectra
• Formation and Evolution of Primordial Black Hole Binaries in the Early Universe
• Primordial black hole formation in the early universe: critical behaviour and self-similarity
• Inference of the cosmological parameters from gravitational waves: application to second generation interferometers
• Cosmic microwave background bounds on primordial black holes including dark matter halo accretion
• The abundance of primordial black holes depends on the shape of the inflationary power spectrum
• Correlated Fluctuations in Luminosity Distance and the (Surprising) Importance of Peculiar Motion in Supernova Surveys
• Limits on stellar-mass compact objects as dark matter from gravitational lensing of type Ia supernovae
• A standard siren measurement of the Hubble constant from GW170817 without the electromagnetic counterpart
• Understanding caustic crossings in giant arcs: characteristic scales, event rates, and constraints on compact dark matter
• Testing modified gravity at cosmological distances with LISA standard sirens
• Chaotic new inflation and formation of primordial black holes
• Signatures of primordial black hole dark matter
• Cosmology with the SPHEREX All-Sky Spectral Survey
• Pulsar Timing Array Constraints on Primordial Black Holes with NANOGrav 11-Year Data Set
• Large-scale bias in the Universe: bispectrum method
• Primordial Black Holes as Dark Matter Candidates
• Search for sub-solar mass ultracompact binaries in Advanced LIGO's second observing run
• Primordial Black Holes Confront LIGO/Virgo data: Current situation
• The Ineludible non-Gaussianity of the Primordial Black Hole Abundance
• The end of the MACHO era- revisited: new limits on MACHO masses from halo wide binaries
• Accurate precision Cosmology with redshift unknown gravitational wave sources
• Searching for a subpopulation of primordial black holes in LIGO/Virgo gravitational-wave data
• Primordial black hole formation and abundance: contribution from the non-linear relation between the density and curvature perturbation
• Black Hole Binary Formation in the Expanding Universe --- Three Body Problem Approximation ---
• Black Holes' Dark Dress: On the merger rate of a subdominant population of primordial black holes
• On model selection forecasting, Dark Energy and modified gravity
• Curvature profiles as initial conditions for primordial black hole formation
• PBH abundance from random Gaussian curvature perturbations and a local density threshold
• Forecasting the detection capabilities of third-generation gravitational-wave detectors using $\text{GWFAST}$
• Lyman-$\alpha$ forest constraints on Primordial Black Holes as Dark Matter
• Cosmology in the dark: On the importance of source population models for gravitational-wave cosmology
• The impact of assembly bias on the halo occupation in hydrodynamical simulations
• Science-Driven Tunable Design of Cosmic Explorer Detectors
• More hilltop inflation models
• Constraining Primordial Black Holes with the EDGES 21-cm Absorption Signal
• Signatures of non-gaussianity in the isocurvature modes of primordial black hole dark matter
• On the merger rate of primordial black holes: effects of nearest neighbours distribution and clustering
• From Primordial Black Holes Abundance to Primordial Curvature Power Spectrum (and back)
• Primordial blackholes and gravitational waves for an inflection-point model of inflation
• Error analysis in cross-correlation of sky maps: application to the ISW detection
• Host galaxies of merging compact objects: mass, star formation rate, metallicity and colours
• Primordial Black Holes as Dark Matter: Converting Constraints from Monochromatic to Extended Mass Distributions
• Determining the progenitors of merging black-hole binaries
• Black hole constraints on the running-mass inflation model
• GW$\times$LSS: Chasing the Progenitors of Merging Binary Black Holes
• Cosmological Parameter Estimation with Large Scale Structure Observations
• Multi-messenger Probes of Inflationary Fluctuations and Primordial Black Holes
• Effects of friction on cosmic strings
• Multi-wavelength astronomical searches for primordial black holes
• The Luminosity Distance in Perturbed FLRW Spacetimes
• Broad search for gravitational waves from subsolar-mass binaries through LIGO and Virgo's third observing run
• Initial clustering and the primordial black hole merger rate
• Anisotropies of gravitational-wave standard sirens as a new cosmological probe without redshift information
• Mass and star formation rate of the host galaxies of compact binary mergers across cosmic time
• Cosmological perturbation effects on gravitational-wave luminosity distance estimates
• Science Impacts of the SPHEREx All-Sky Optical to Near-Infrared Spectral Survey II: Report of a Community Workshop on the Scientific Synergies Between the SPHEREx Survey and Other Astronomy Observatories
• The long-short wavelength mode coupling tightens primordial black hole constraints
• Cross-correlation of the astrophysical gravitational-wave background with galaxy clustering
• Exploring galaxies-gravitational waves cross-correlations as an astrophysical probe
• Beware of commonly used approximations I: errors in forecasts
• Cross-correlating galaxy catalogs and gravitational waves: a tomographic approach
• Gravitational Wave mergers as tracers of Large Scale Structures
• Science Impacts of the SPHEREx All-Sky Optical to Near-Infrared Spectral Survey: Report of a Community Workshop Examining Extragalactic, Galactic, Stellar and Planetary Science
• Beware of commonly used approximations II: estimating systematic biases in the best-fit parameters
• The Full-Sky Angular Bispectrum in Redshift Space
• LIGO/Virgo black holes and dark matter: The effect of spatial clustering
• Gravitational waves $\times$ HI intensity mapping: cosmological and astrophysical applications
• Cosmological Constraints with Clustering-Based Redshifts
• Primordial black holes from cusp collapse on cosmic strings
• Gravitational wave astronomy with radio galaxy surveys
• ATLAS Probe: Breakthrough Science of Galaxy Evolution, Cosmology, Milky Way, and the Solar System
• Clustering of Gravitational Wave and Supernovae events: a multitracer analysis in Luminosity Distance Space
• Analyzing clustering of astrophysical gravitational-wave sources: Luminosity-distance space distortions
• The observed number counts in luminosity distance space
• Measuring angular N-point correlations of binary black hole merger gravitational-wave events with hierarchical Bayesian inference
• Renormalisation of linear halo bias in N-body simulations
• Enhance Primordial Black Hole Abundance through the Non-linear Processes around Bounce Point
• Antisymmetric cross-correlation of line-intensity maps as a probe of reionization
• The integrated angular bispectrum
• Constraining primordial black holes in dark matter with kinematics of dwarf galaxies
• Illuminating the dark universe with a very high density galaxy redshift survey over a wide area

Cited by in corpus (17)

• The Science of the Einstein Telescope
• Nonlinear ringdown at the black hole horizon
• Complete analysis of the background and anisotropies of scalar-induced gravitational waves: primordial non-Gaussianity $f_{\mathrm{NL}}$ and $g_{\mathrm{NL}}$ considered
• Realisation of the ultra-slow roll phase in Galileon inflation and PBH overproduction
• Large fluctuations and Primordial Black Holes
• Obviating PBH overproduction for SIGWs generated by Pulsar Timing Arrays in loop corrected EFT of bounce
• Constraining extended cosmologies with GW$\times$LSS cross-correlations
• Regularized-Renormalized-Resummed loop corrected power spectrum of non-singular bounce with Primordial Black Hole formation
• Untangling PBH overproduction in $w$-SIGWs generated by Pulsar Timing Arrays for MST-EFT of single field inflation
• Primordial Black Holes from Effective Field Theory of Stochastic Single Field Inflation at NNNLO
• Primordial black holes as cosmic expansion accelerators
• Negative non-Gaussianity as a salvager for PBHs with PTAs in bounce
• Fundamental Physics and Cosmology with TianQin
• Non-Gaussianities and Primordial Black Holes
• Gravitational wave background from primordial black holes in globular clusters
• The Gravitational Wave Bias Parameter from Angular Power Spectra: Bridging Between Galaxies and Binary Black Holes
• Synergy between CSST and third-generation gravitational-wave detectors: Inferring cosmological parameters using cross-correlation of dark sirens and galaxies