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20012024
most citedMultivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting

62 citations

13 papers

cs.CL2024★ 1 cited

Indexing and Visualization of Climate Change Narratives Using BERT and Causal Extraction

Hiroki Sakaji, Noriyasu Kaneda

In this study, we propose a methodology to extract, index, and visualize ``climate change narratives'' (stories about the connection between causal and consequential events related…

math.NA2021★ 34 cited

Numerical methods for backward stochastic differential equations: A survey

Jared Chessari, Reiichiro Kawai, Yuji Shinozaki +1

Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs) have been widely employed in various areas of social and natural sciences, such as the pricing and hedging of financial derivativ…

q-fin.PM2020★ 14 cited

Cryptocurrency portfolio optimization with multivariate normal tempered stable processes and Foster-Hart risk

Tetsuo Kurosaki, Young Shin Kim

We study portfolio optimization of four major cryptocurrencies. Our time series model is a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model with multivariate…

stat.ME2017★ 62 cited

Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting

Kenichiro McAlinn, Knut Are Aastveit, Jouchi Nakajima +1

We develop the methodology and a detailed case study in use of a class of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) models for multivariate time series forecasting. This extends the rece…

stat.AP2016★ 17 cited

Dynamics and sparsity in latent threshold factor models: A study in multivariate EEG signal processing

Jouchi Nakajima, Mike West

We discuss Bayesian analysis of multivariate time series with dynamic factor models that exploit time-adaptive sparsity in model parametrizations via the latent threshold approach.…

q-fin.RM2015

Dynamic Interaction Between Asset Prices and Bank Behavior: A Systemic Risk Perspective

Aki-Hiro Sato, Paolo Tasca, Takashi Isogai

Systemic risk in banking systems remains a crucial issue that it has not been completely understood. In our toy model, banks are exposed to two sources of risks, namely, market ris…