output
20082026
most citedMultivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting

62 citations

24 papers

cs.CY2026★ 5 cited

Navigating the muddy waters of bias in artificial intelligence research: Understanding divergent meanings and conceptions

Mohammad Hossein Jarrahi, Amir Karami, Patrick Conway +2

As artificial intelligence (AI) pervades many decision-making domains, AI bias grows in importance. Although there is increasing awareness of the social and ethical consequences of…

cs.CY2025★ 23 cited

How malicious AI swarms can threaten democracy: The fusion of agentic AI and LLMs marks a new frontier in information warfare

Daniel Thilo Schroeder, Meeyoung Cha, Andrea Baronchelli +19

Advances in AI offer the prospect of manipulating beliefs and behaviors on a population-wide level. Large language models and autonomous agents now let influence campaigns reach un…

cs.SE2024★ 8 cited

A Comparative Study on Large Language Models for Log Parsing

Merve Astekin, Max Hort, Leon Moonen

Background: Log messages provide valuable information about the status of software systems. This information is provided in an unstructured fashion and automated approaches are app…

cs.CY2024★ 10 cited

Mapping acceptance: micro scenarios as a dual-perspective approach for assessing public opinion and individual differences in technology perception

Philipp Brauner

Understanding public perception of technology is crucial to aligning research, development, and governance of technology. This article introduces micro scenarios as an integrative…

cs.SE2023★ 15 cited

The EarlyBIRD Catches the Bug: On Exploiting Early Layers of Encoder Models for More Efficient Code Classification

Anastasiia Grishina, Max Hort, Leon Moonen

The use of modern Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques has shown to be beneficial for software engineering tasks, such as vulnerability detection and type inference. Howeve…

cs.SE2023★ 43 cited

Fully Autonomous Programming with Large Language Models

Vadim Liventsev, Anastasiia Grishina, Aki Härmä +1

Current approaches to program synthesis with Large Language Models (LLMs) exhibit a "near miss syndrome": they tend to generate programs that semantically resemble the correct answ…

cs.PL2023★ 2 cited

Suspension Analysis and Selective Continuation-Passing Style for Universal Probabilistic Programming Languages

Daniel Lundén, Lars Hummelgren, Jan Kudlicka +2

Universal probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) make it relatively easy to encode and automatically solve statistical inference problems. To solve inference problems, PPL impl…

cs.PL2021★ 13 cited

Compiling Universal Probabilistic Programming Languages with Efficient Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo Inference

Daniel Lundén, Joey Öhman, Jan Kudlicka +3

Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) allow users to encode arbitrary inference problems, and PPL implementations provide general-purpose automatic inference for these problem…

cs.SE2021

Agile Information System Development Organizations Transforming to Large-Scale Collaboration

Marius Mikalsen, Nils Brede Moe, Sut I Wong +1

We report findings from a case study of a large agile information systems development (ISD) organization`s sudden transformation to distributed, digital work in the context of the…

econ.TH2021

Peace Through Side Payments

Jingfeng Lu, Zongwei Lu, Christian Riis

We study strategic bargaining for peaceful settlement before conflict escalates into war, comparing two protocols: offering a take-it-or-leave-it side payment versus requesting one…

econ.GN2021★ 9 cited

Forecasting consumer confidence through semantic network analysis of online news

A. Fronzetti Colladon, F. Grippa, B. Guardabascio +2

This research studies the impact of online news on social and economic consumer perceptions through semantic network analysis. Using over 1.8 million online articles on Italian med…

econ.EM2020★ 5 cited

Asymmetric uncertainty : Nowcasting using skewness in real-time data

Paul Labonne

This paper presents a new way to account for downside and upside risks when producing density nowcasts of GDP growth. The approach relies on modelling location, scale and shape com…

math.PR2020★ 4 cited

Pathwise Regularisation of Singular Interacting Particle Systems and their Mean Field Limits

Fabian Harang, Avi Mayorcas

We investigate the regularizing effect of certain perturbations by noise in singular interacting particle systems under the mean field scaling. In particular, we show that the addi…

q-fin.GN2020★ 5 cited

Forecasting financial markets with semantic network analysis in the COVID-19 crisis

A. Fronzetti Colladon, S. Grassi, F. Ravazzolo +1

This paper uses a new textual data index for predicting stock market data. The index is applied to a large set of news to evaluate the importance of one or more general economic-re…

econ.TH2019

Perfect bidder collusion through bribe and request

Jingfeng Lu, Zongwei Lu, Christian Riis

We study collusion in a second-price auction with two bidders in a dynamic environment. One bidder can make a take-it-or-leave-it collusion proposal, which consists of both an offe…

math.RT2019★ 3 cited

Deformation theory of Cohen-Macaulay approximation

Runar Ile

In a previous article (J. Algebra 367 (2012), 142-165) we established axiomatic parametrised Cohen-Macaulay approximation which in particular was applied to pairs consisting of a f…

math.RT2018

Graded Holonomic D-modules on Monomial Curves

Eivind Eriksen

In this paper, we study the holonomic -modules when is the ring of -linear differential operators on , the coordinate ring of an affine monomial curve over the…

stat.ME2017★ 62 cited

Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting

Kenichiro McAlinn, Knut Are Aastveit, Jouchi Nakajima +1

We develop the methodology and a detailed case study in use of a class of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) models for multivariate time series forecasting. This extends the rece…

physics.class-ph2017★ 20 cited

Restrictions on wave equations for passive media

Sverre Holm, Martin Blomhoff Holm

Most derivations of acoustic wave equations involve ensuring that causality is satisfied. Here we explore the consequences of also requiring that the medium should be passive. This…

math.RT2017

The algebra of observables in noncommutative deformation theory

Eivind Eriksen, Arvid Siqveland

We consider the algebra of observables and the (formally) versal morphism defined by the noncommutative deformation functor…

stat.AP2015

Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions

Federico Bassetti, Roberto Casarin, Francesco Ravazzolo

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random ca…

math.RA2010

Coherent rings of differential operators

Eivind Eriksen

We consider the following question: When are rings of differential operators coherent? If is a finitely generated smooth domain over a field of characteristic , then the…

math.AG2009

The Generalized Burnside Theorem in noncommutative deformation theory

Eivind Eriksen

Let A be an associative algebra over a field, and let M be a finite family of right A-modules. Study of the noncommutative deformation functor of the family M leads to the construc…

math.AG2008

Equivariant Lie-Rinehart cohomology

Eivind Eriksen, Trond S. Gustavsen

In this paper, we study Lie-Rinehart cohomology for quotients of singularities by finite groups, and interpret these cohomology groups in terms of integrable connection on modules.