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binary classification 1calibration 1degrees of freedom 1distribution-free guarantees 1expected calibration error 1isotonic regression 1

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20242026
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stat.ML2026

An analysis of binary isotonic regression: degrees of freedom and implications for calibration

Raphael Rossellini, Rina Foygel Barber, Zhimei Ren +1

The paper provides a sharp finite‑sample bound on the worst‑case degrees of freedom of binary isotonic regression and uses this result to derive a distribution‑free guarantee on th…