17 citations · 199 across the 42 of their papers we have counts for
8 papers · 1 filter
Change-point detection in the historical hurricane number time-series: why can't we detect change-points at US landfall?
Kechi Nzerem, Stephen Jewson, Thomas Laepple
The time series of the number of hurricanes per year in the Atlantic basin shows a clear change of level between 1994 and 1995. The time series of the number of hurricanes that mak…
Predicting hurricane regional landfall rates: comparing local and basin-wide track model approaches
Tim Hall, Stephen Jewson
We compare two methods for making predictions of the climatological distribution of the number of hurricanes making landfall along short sections of the North American coastline. T…
An objective change point analysis of landfalling historical Atlantic hurricane numbers
Stephen Jewson, Jeremy Penzer
In previous work we have analysed the Atlantic basin hurricane number time-series to identify decadal time-scale change points. We now repeat the analysis but for US landfalling hu…
An objective change-point analysis of historical Atlantic hurricane numbers
Stephen Jewson, Jeremy Penzer
We perform an objective change-point analysis on 106 years of historical hurricane number data. The algorithm we use looks at all possible combinations of change-points and compare…
Year ahead prediction of US landfalling hurricane numbers: the optimal combination of multiple levels of activity since 1900
Roman Binter, Stephen Jewson, Shree Khare +2
In earlier work we considered methods for predicting future levels of hurricane activity based on the assumption that historical mean activity was at one constant level from 1900 t…
Comparing classical and Bayesian methods for predicting hurricane landfall rates
Tim Hall, Stephen Jewson
We compare classical and Bayesian methods for fitting the poisson distribution to the number of hurricanes making landfall on sections of the US coastline.