266 citations · 1.4k across the 43 of their papers we have counts for
43 papers
Surface Flux Transport on the Sun
Anthony R. Yeates, Mark C. M. Cheung, Jie Jiang +2
We review the surface flux transport model for the evolution of magnetic flux patterns on the Sun's surface. Our underlying motivation is to understand the model's prediction of th…
Comparison of physics-based prediction models of solar cycle 25
Jie Jiang, Zebin Zhang, Kristóf Petrovay
Physics-based solar cycle predictions provide an effective way to verify our understanding of the solar cycle. Before the start of cycle 25, several physics-based solar cycle predi…
Role of observable nonlinearities in solar cycle modulation
M. Talafha, M. Nagy, A. Lemerle +1
Context. Two candidate mechanisms have recently been considered for the nonlinear modulation of solar cycle amplitudes. Tilt quenching (TQ) is a negative feedback between cycle amp…
The polar precursor method for solar cycle prediction: comparison of predictors and their temporal range
Pawan Kumar, Melinda Nagy, Alexandre Lemerle +2
The polar precursor method is widely considered to be the most robust physically motivated method to predict the amplitude of an upcoming solar cycle.It uses indicators of the magn…
Towards an algebraic method of solar cycle prediction II. Reducing the need for detailed input data with ARDoR
Melinda Nagy, Kristóf Petrovay, Alexandre Lemerle +1
An algebraic method for the reconstruction and potentially prediction of the solar dipole moment value at sunspot minimum (known to be a good predictor of the amplitude of the next…
Towards an algebraic method of solar cycle prediction I. Calculating the ultimate dipole contributions of individual active regions
Kristóf Petrovay, Melinda Nagy, Anthony R. Yeates
We discuss the potential use of an algebraic method to compute the value of the solar axial dipole moment at solar minimum, widely considered to be the most reliable precursor of t…