651 citations · 2.5k across the 55 of their papers we have counts for
6 papers · 1 filter
Interplay between risk perception, behaviour, and COVID-19 spread
Philipp Dönges, Joel Wagner, Sebastian Contreras +9
Pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have been crucial for controlling COVID-19. They are complemented by voluntary health-protective behaviour, building a co…
The winter dilemma
Sebastian Contreras, Philipp Dönges, Joel Wagner +8
With winter coming in the northern hemisphere, disadvantageous seasonality of SARS-CoV-2 requires high immunity levels in the population or increasing non-pharmaceutical interventi…
How contact patterns destabilize and modulate epidemic outbreaks
Johannes Zierenberg, F. Paul Spitzner, Jonas Dehning +3
The spread of a contagious disease clearly depends on when infected individuals come into contact with susceptible ones. Such effects, however, have remained largely unexplored in…
Mutational signatures and transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 Gamma and Lambda variants
Karen Y. Oróstica, Sebastian Contreras, Sebastian B. Mohr +12
The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern endangers the long-term control of COVID-19, especially in countries with limited genomic surveillance. In this work, we explored ge…
A look into the future of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe: an expert consultation
Emil Nafis Iftekhar, Viola Priesemann, Rudi Balling +31
How will the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic develop in the coming months and years? Based on an expert survey, we examine key aspects that are likely to influence COV…
Relaxing restrictions at the pace of vaccination increases freedom and guards against further COVID-19 waves
Simon Bauer, Sebastian Contreras, Jonas Dehning +5
Mass vaccination offers a promising exit strategy for the COVID-19 pandemic. However, as vaccination progresses, demands to lift restrictions increase, despite most of the populati…