82 citations · 138 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for
18 papers
The winter dilemma
Sebastian Contreras, Philipp Dönges, Joel Wagner +8
With winter coming in the northern hemisphere, disadvantageous seasonality of SARS-CoV-2 requires high immunity levels in the population or increasing non-pharmaceutical interventi…
Mutational signatures and transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 Gamma and Lambda variants
Karen Y. Oróstica, Sebastian Contreras, Sebastian B. Mohr +12
The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern endangers the long-term control of COVID-19, especially in countries with limited genomic surveillance. In this work, we explored ge…
A look into the future of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe: an expert consultation
Emil Nafis Iftekhar, Viola Priesemann, Rudi Balling +31
How will the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic develop in the coming months and years? Based on an expert survey, we examine key aspects that are likely to influence COV…
Relaxing restrictions at the pace of vaccination increases freedom and guards against further COVID-19 waves
Simon Bauer, Sebastian Contreras, Jonas Dehning +5
Mass vaccination offers a promising exit strategy for the COVID-19 pandemic. However, as vaccination progresses, demands to lift restrictions increase, despite most of the populati…
Low case numbers enable long-term stable pandemic control without lockdowns
Sebastian Contreras, Jonas Dehning, Sebastian B. Mohr +3
The traditional long-term solutions for epidemic control involve eradication or population immunity. Here, we analytically derive the existence of a third viable solution: a stable…
The foreshadow of a second wave: An analysis of current COVID-19 fatalities in Germany
Matthias Linden, Jonas Dehning, Sebastian B. Mohr +5
A second wave of SARS-CoV-2 is unfolding in dozens of countries. However, this second wave manifests itself strongly in new reported cases, but less in death counts compared to the…