Efficient modeling of correlated noise II. A flexible noise model with fast and scalable methods
arXiv:2004.10678 · doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201936906
Abstract
Correlated noise affects most astronomical datasets and to neglect accounting for it can lead to spurious signal detections, especially in low signal-to-noise conditions, which is often the context in which new discoveries are pursued. For instance, in the realm of exoplanet detection with radial velocity time series, stellar variability can induce false detections. However, a white noise approximation is often used because accounting for correlated noise when analyzing data implies a more complex analysis. Moreover, the computational cost can be prohibitive as it typically scales as the cube of the dataset size. For some restricted classes of correlated noise models, there are specific algorithms that can be used to help bring down the computational cost. This improvement in speed is particularly useful in the context of Gaussian process regression, however, it comes at the expense of the generality of the noise model. Here, we present the S+LEAF noise model, which allows us to account for a large class of correlated noises with a linear scaling of the computational cost with respect to the size of the dataset. The S+LEAF model includes, in particular, mixtures of quasiperiodic kernels and calibration noise. This efficient modeling is made possible by a sparse representation of the covariance matrix of the noise and the use of dedicated algorithms for matrix inversion, solving, determinant computation, etc. We applied the S+LEAF model to reanalyze the HARPS radial velocity time series of HD 136352. We illustrate the flexibility of the S+LEAF model in handling various sources of noise. We demonstrate the importance of taking correlated noise into account, and especially calibration noise, to correctly assess the significance of detected signals. We provide an open-source implementation of the S+LEAF model, available at https://gitlab.unige.ch/jean-baptiste.delisle/spleaf.
arXiv commentAccepted in A&A
References in corpus (14)
- The generalised Lomb-Scargle periodogram. A new formalism for the floating-mean and Keplerian periodograms
- Fast and scalable Gaussian process modeling with applications to astronomical time series
- No planet for HD 166435
- Planets and Stellar Activity: Hide and Seek in the CoRoT-7 system
- A Gaussian process framework for modelling stellar activity signals in radial velocity data
- Assessing statistical significance of periodogram peaks
- Planetary detection limits taking into account stellar noise. I. Observational strategies to reduce stellar oscillation and granulation effects
- Uncovering the planets and stellar activity of CoRoT-7 using only radial velocities
- A Class of Fast Methods for Processing Irregularly Sampled or Otherwise Inhomogeneous One-Dimensional Data
- The HARPS search for southern extra-solar planets. XXXVI. Eight HARPS multi-planet systems hosting 20 super-Earth and Neptune-mass companions
- The HARPS search for southern extra-solar planets. XLIII. A compact system of four super-Earth planets orbiting HD 215152
- Characterization of a spurious one-year signal in HARPS data
- Bias and robustness of eccentricity estimates from radial velocity data
- Efficient modeling of correlated noise I. Statistical significance of periodogram peaks
Cited by in corpus (37)
- Six transiting planets and a chain of Laplace resonances in TOI-178
- Three Years of HARPS-N High-Resolution Spectroscopy and Precise Radial Velocity Data for the Sun
- Efficient modeling of correlated noise. III. Scalable methods for jointly modeling several observables' time series with Gaussian processes
- Statistical methods for exoplanet detection with radial velocities
- Testing whether a signal is strictly periodic. Application to disentangling planets and stellar activity in radial velocities
- Sub-m s upper limits from a deep HARPS-N radial-velocity search for planets orbiting HD 166620 and HD 144579
- The CORALIE survey for southern extrasolar planets XIX. Brown dwarfs and stellar companions unveiled by radial velocity and astrometry
- CORALIE radial-velocity search for companions around evolved stars (CASCADES). I. Sample definition and first results: Three new planets orbiting giant stars
- A general stability-driven approach for the refinement of multi-planet systems
- The HARPS search for southern extra-solar planets. XLVI: 12 super-Earths around the solar type stars HD39194, HD93385, HD96700, HD154088, and HD189567
- Joint Modeling of Radial Velocities and Photometry with a Gaussian Process Framework
- Alleviating the Transit Timing Variations bias in transit surveys. II. RIVERS: Twin resonant Earth-sized planets around Kepler-1972 recovered from Kepler's false positive
- A review of planetary systems around HD 99492, HD 147379 and HD 190007 with HARPS-N
- Photo-dynamical characterisation of the TOI-178 resonant chain
- Coralie radial-velocity search for companions around evolved stars (CASCADES) III. A new Jupiter host-star: in-depth analysis of HD 29399 using TESS data
- TESS and HARPS reveal two sub-Neptunes around TOI 1062
- Modelling variability power spectra of active galaxies from irregular time series
- A statistical model of stellar variability. I. FENRIR: a physics-based model of stellar activity, and its fast Gaussian process approximation
- Preliminary analysis on the noise characteristics of MWISP data
- Do Cellular Automaton Avalanche Models Simulate the Quasi-Periodic Pulsations of Solar Flares?
- Optimal frequency-domain analysis for spacecraft time series: Introducing the missing-data multitaper power spectrum estimator
- TESS and HARPS-N unveil two planets transiting TOI-1453. A super-Earth and one of the lowest mass sub-Neptunes
- TOI-2322: two transiting rocky planets close to the stellar rotation period and its first harmonic
- HADES RV Programme with HARPS-N at TNG. XVI. A super-Earth in the habitable zone of the GJ 3998 multi-planet system
- L 363-38 b: a planet newly discovered with ESPRESSO orbiting a nearby M dwarf star
- A continuous multiple hypothesis testing framework for optimal exoplanet detection
- A sub-Earth-mass planet orbiting Barnard's star: No evidence of transits in TESS photometry
- A tidally detached super Neptune on a strongly misaligned retrograde orbit
- Modeling the -ratio and hadronic contributions to with a Treed Gaussian Process
- An improved correction of radial-velocity systematic for the SOPHIE spectrograph
- The RoPES project with HARPS and HARPS-N II. A third planet in the multi-planet system HD 176986
- Densities of small planets around the M dwarfs TOI-4336 A and TOI-4342 with ESPRESSO: Three sub-Neptunes, one super-Earth, and a Neptune-mass candidate
- Stellar-activity analysis of the nearby M dwarf GJ 526. Multi-dimensional Gaussian-process modelling of RV, FWHM and S-index
- Scalable Gaussian Processes for Integrated and Overlapping Measurements Via Augmented State Space Models
- Exposure-averaged Gaussian Processes for Combining Overlapping Datasets
- Full-frame data reduction method: a data mining tool to detect the potential variations in optical photometry
- Measuring masses of transiting Earth-like planets: first insights from the PLATO RV data challenge