Global Fits of the cMSSM and NUHM including the LHC Higgs discovery and new XENON100 constraints

Abstract

We present global fits of the constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (cMSSM) and the Non-Universal Higgs Model (NUHM), including the most recent CMS constraint on the Higgs boson mass, 5.8/fb integrated luminosity null Supersymmetry searches by ATLAS, the new LHCb measurement of the Bs to mu+mu- branching ratio and the 7-year WMAP dark matter relic abundance determination. We include the latest dark matter constraints from the XENON100 experiment, marginalising over astrophysical and particle physics uncertainties. We present Bayesian posterior and profile likelihood maps of the highest resolution available today, obtained from up to 350M points. We find that the new constraint on the Higgs boson mass has a dramatic impact, ruling out large regions of previously favoured cMSSM and NUHM parameter space. In the cMSSM, light sparticles and predominantly gaugino-like dark matter with a mass of a few hundred GeV are favoured. The NUHM exhibits a strong preference for heavier sparticle masses and a Higgsino-like neutralino with a mass of 1 TeV. The future ton-scale XENON1T direct detection experiment will probe large portions of the currently favoured cMSSM and NUHM parameter space. The LHC operating at 14 TeV collision energy will explore the favoured regions in the cMSSM, while most of the regions favoured in the NUHM will remain inaccessible. Our best-fit points achieve a satisfactory quality-of-fit, with p-values ranging from 0.21 to 0.35, so that none of the two models studied can be presently excluded at any meaningful significance level.

37 pages, 11 figures, submitted to JCAP

References in corpus (20)

• Dark Matter Results from 225 Live Days of XENON100 Data
• Bayes in the sky: Bayesian inference and model selection in cosmology
• micrOMEGAs2.0: a program to calculate the relic density of dark matter in a generic model
• SuperIso v3.0: A program for calculating flavor physics observables in 2HDM and supersymmetry
• First evidence for the decay Bs -> mu+ mu-
• Hadronic Uncertainties in the Elastic Scattering of Supersymmetric Dark Matter
• Improved predictions for g-2 of the muon and α_{\rm QED}(M_Z^2)
• The CMSSM and NUHM1 in Light of 7 TeV LHC, B_s to mu+mu- and XENON100 Data
• Constrained MSSM favoring new territories: The impact of new LHC limits and a 125 GeV Higgs boson
• Status of low energy SUSY models confronted with the LHC 125 GeV Higgs data
• Implications for the Constrained MSSM from a new prediction for b to s gamma
• Complementarity of Dark Matter Direct Detection Targets
• Anatomy of maximal stop mixing in the MSSM
• Bayesian Selection of sign(mu) within mSUGRA in Global Fits Including WMAP5 Results
• Implications of the Higgs Boson Discovery for mSUGRA
• Identification of Dark Matter particles with LHC and direct detection data
• On B_s -> mu+ mu- and Cold Dark Matter Scattering in the MSSM with Non-Universal Higgs Masses
• The Quest for Supersymmetry: Early LHC Results versus Direct and Indirect Neutralino Dark Matter Searches
• Constraints on the mSUGRA parameter space from NLO calculation of isospin asymmetry in B -> K* gamma
• Probing the Supersymmetric Inflaton and Dark Matter link via the CMB, LHC and XENON1T experiments

Cited by in corpus (76)

• WIMP dark matter candidates and searches - current status and future prospects
• Physics reach of the XENON1T dark matter experiment
• GAMBIT: The Global and Modular Beyond-the-Standard-Model Inference Tool
• Likelihood Analysis of the pMSSM11 in Light of LHC 13-TeV Data
• Global fits of GUT-scale SUSY models with GAMBIT
• The CMSSM and NUHM1 after LHC Run 1
• Towards the Final Word on Neutralino Dark Matter
• Naturalness of Light Neutralino Dark Matter in pMSSM after LHC, XENON100 and Planck Data
• Killing the cMSSM softly
• GUT-inspired SUSY and the muon g-2 anomaly: prospects for LHC 14 TeV
• Bayesian analysis of radial velocity data of GJ667C with correlated noise: evidence for only 2 planets
• Light Neutralino Dark Matter: Direct/Indirect Detection and Collider Searches
• What next for the CMSSM and the NUHM: Improved prospects for superpartner and dark matter detection
• Dark matter and collider signatures of the MSSM
• Gluino-driven Radiative Breaking, Higgs Boson Mass, Muon $\mathbf{g}-2$, and the Higgs Diphoton Decay in SUGRA Unification
• Prospects for dark matter searches in the pMSSM
• GUT-constrained supersymmetry and dark matter in light of the new $(g-2{)}_{\mu }$ determination
• Dark matter and Higgs bosons in the MSSM
• Beyond the CMSSM without an Accelerator: Proton Decay and Direct Dark Matter Detection
• The Relic Neutralino Surface at a 100 TeV collider
• Profile likelihood maps of a 15-dimensional MSSM
• Light stops, blind spots, and isospin violation in the MSSM
• Scenarios for Gluino Coannihilation
• Here be Dragons: The Unexplored Continents of the CMSSM
• Constraining Supersymmetry using the relic density and the Higgs boson
• The Super-GUT CMSSM Revisited
• A self-consistent phase-space distribution function for the anisotropic Dark Matter halo of the Milky Way
• Dark Matter Detection in Focus Point Supersymmetry
• The semi-constrained NMSSM satisfying bounds from the LHC, LUX and Planck
• Two ultimate tests of constrained supersymmetry
• The health of SUSY after the Higgs discovery and the XENON100 data
• LUX likelihood and limits on spin-independent and spin-dependent WIMP couplings with LUXCalc
• Effective Field Theory of Dark Matter: a Global Analysis
• SUSY dark matter(s)
• Search for Low-Mass Dark Matter with CsI(Tl) Crystal Detectors
• Collider Interplay for Supersymmetry, Higgs and Dark Matter
• Invisible Higgs Decay in a Supersymmetric Inverse Seesaw Model with Light Sneutrino Dark Matter
• A Novel Approach to Fine-Tuned Supersymmetric Standard Models -- Case of Non-Universal Higgs Masses model
• GAMBIT and its Application in the Search for Physics Beyond the Standard Model
• Constraining resonant dark matter with combined LHC electroweakino searches
• Solving the muon g-2 anomaly in CMSSM extension with non-universal gaugino masses
• Invisible Higgs Decays to Hooperons in the NMSSM
• The invisible decay of Higgs boson in the context of a thermal and non-thermal relic in MSSM
• A comparison of optimisation algorithms for high-dimensional particle and astrophysics applications
• Naturalness of the relaxion mechanism
• Supersymmetry at a 28 TeV hadron collider: HE-LHC
• Stau Coannihilation, Compressed Spectrum and SUSY Discovery at the LHC
• Signatures of sneutrino dark matter in an extension of the CMSSM
• Phenomenology of SUSY with General Flavour Violation
• Naturalness, the Hyperbolic Branch and Prospects for the Observation of Charged Higgs at High Luminosity LHC and 27 TeV LHC
• Light Stops and Observation of Supersymmetry at LHC RUN-II
• Multi-lepton signatures at LHC from sneutrino dark matter
• Likelihood Analysis of Supersymmetric SU(5) GUTs
• Saving the MSSM from the Galactic Center Excess
• Implications of light charginos for Higgs observables, LHC searches and dark matter
• Gluino Coannihilation and Observability of Gluinos at LHC RUN II
• One-Loop Anomaly Mediated Scalar Masses and (g-2)_mu in Pure Gravity Mediation
• Sparticle Mass Hierarchies, Simplified Models from SUGRA Unification, and Benchmarks for LHC Run-II SUSY Searches
• Bayesian analysis and naturalness of (Next-to-)Minimal Supersymmetric Models
• Impact of nucleon matrix element uncertainties on the interpretation of direct and indirect dark matter search results
• Pulse-shape discrimination between electron and nuclear recoils in a NaI(Tl) crystal
• The dark side of the $\mu$: on multiple solutions to renormalisation group equations, and why the CMSSM is not necessarily being ruled out
• Supergravity Models with 50-100 TeV Scalars, SUSY Discovery at the LHC and Gravitino Decay Constraints
• Supersymmetry Searches in GUT Models with Non-Universal Scalar Masses
• A simple technique for combining simplified models and its application to direct stop production
• Dark Matter, Sparticle Spectroscopy and Muon $(g-2)$ in $SU(4{)}_c\times SU(2{)}_L\times SU(2{)}_R$
• Peccei-Quinn Symmetric Pure Gravity Mediation
• Investigating Multiple Solutions in the Constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model
• New techniques for chargino-neutralino detection at LHC
• Theoretical Uncertainties in the Calculation of Supersymmetric Dark Matter Observables
• SUSY naturalness without prejudice
• LHC and dark matter phenomenology of the NUGHM
• High Energy Physics and Cosmology at the Unification Frontier: Opportunities and Challenges in the coming years
• Supersymmetry after the Higgs
• Cosmology and short-distance gravity
• Some theories beyond the Standard Model