Zero-one survival behavior of cyclically competing species

Abstract

Coexistence of competing species is, due to unavoidable fluctuations, always transient. In this Letter, we investigate the ultimate survival probabilities characterizing different species in cyclic competition. We show that they often obey a surprisingly simple, though non-trivial behavior. Within a model where coexistence is neutrally stable, we demonstrate a robust zero-one law: When the interactions between the three species are (generically) asymmetric, the `weakest' species survives at a probability that tends to one for large population sizes, while the other two are guaranteed to extinct. We rationalize our findings from stochastic simulations by an analytic approach.

4 pages, 3 figures

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