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20072025
most citedStatistical Postprocessing for Weather Forecasts -- Review, Challenges and Avenues in a Big Data World

205 citations

Showing nlin.CDShow all

5 papers · 1 filter

nlin.CD2017★ 75 cited

Predictability of large-scale atmospheric motions: Lyapunov exponents and error dynamics

Stéphane Vannitsem

The deterministic equations describing the dynamics of the atmosphere (and of the climate system) are known to display the property of sensitivity to initial conditions. In the erg…

nlin.CD2014★ 54 cited

Low-frequency variability and heat transport in a low-order nonlinear coupled ocean-atmosphere model

Stéphane Vannitsem, Jonathan Demaeyer, Lesley De Cruz +1

We formulate and study a low-order nonlinear coupled ocean-atmosphere model with an emphasis on the impact of radiative and heat fluxes and of the frictional coupling between the t…

nlin.CD2008★ 46 cited

Controlling instabilities along a 3DVar analysis cycle by assimilating in the unstable subspace: a comparison with the EnKF

A. Carrassi, A. Trevisan, L. Descamps +2

A hybrid scheme obtained by combining 3DVar with the Assimilation in the Unstable Subspace (3DVar-AUS) is tested in a QG model, under perfect model conditions, with a fixed observa…

nlin.CD2008★ 19 cited

Model error and sequential data assimilation. A deterministic formulation

A. Carrassi, S. Vannitsem, C. Nicolis

Data assimilation schemes are confronted with the presence of model errors arising from the imperfect description of atmospheric dynamics. These errors are usually modeled on the b…

nlin.CD2007★ 53 cited

Data assimilation as a nonlinear dynamical systems problem: Stability and convergence of the prediction-assimilation system

Alberto Carrassi, Michael Ghil, Anna Trevisan +1

We study prediction-assimilation systems, which have become routine in meteorology and oceanography and are rapidly spreading to other areas of the geosciences and of continuum phy…