activity
19982022
most citedThe Physics of Climate Variability and Climate Change

433 citations · 1.4k across the 21 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

23 papers

nlin.CD2022

Random templex encodes topological tipping points in noise-driven chaotic dynamics

Gisela D. Charó, Michael Ghil, Denisse Sciamarella

Random attractors are the time-evolving pullback attractors of stochastically perturbed, deterministically chaotic dynamical systems. These attractors have a structure that changes…

math.ST2022★ 5 cited

Asymptotic behavior of the forecast-assimilation process with unstable dynamics

Dan Crisan, Michael Ghil

Extensive numerical evidence shows that the assimilation of observations has a stabilizing effect on unstable dynamics, in numerical weather prediction and elsewhere. In this paper…

stat.ME2022★ 42 cited

A multi-model ensemble Kalman filter for data assimilation and forecasting

Eviatar Bach, Michael Ghil

Data assimilation (DA) aims to optimally combine model forecasts and observations that are both partial and noisy. Multi-model DA generalizes the variational or Bayesian formulatio…

physics.ao-ph2021★ 11 cited

Extratropical low-frequency variability with ENSO forcing: A reduced-order coupled model study

Stéphane Vannitsem, Jonathan Demaeyer, Michael Ghil

The impact of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the extratropics is investigated in an idealized, reduced-order model that has a tropical and an extratropical module. Unid…

nlin.CD2020★ 45 cited

Reduced-Order Models for Coupled Dynamical Systems: Data-driven Methods and the Koopman Operator

Manuel Santos Gutiérrez, Valerio Lucarini, Mickaël D. Chekroun +1

Providing efficient and accurate parametrizations for model reduction is a key goal in many areas of science and technology. Here we present a strong link between data-driven and t…

nlin.CD2020

Noise-driven Topological Changes in Chaotic Dynamics

Gisela D. Charó, Mickaël D. Chekroun, Denisse Sciamarella +1

Noise modifies the behavior of chaotic systems in both quantitative and qualitative ways. To study these modifications, the present work compares the topological structure of the d…