209 citations · 244 across the 2 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers
Applications of large deviation theory in geophysical fluid dynamics and climate science
Vera Melinda Galfi, Valerio Lucarini, Francesco Ragone +1
The climate system is a complex, chaotic system with many degrees of freedom and variability on a vast range of temporal and spatial scales. Attaining a deeper level of understandi…
Rare event algorithm study of extreme warm summers and heat waves over Europe
Francesco Ragone, Freddy Bouchet
The analysis of extremes in climate models is hindered by the lack of statistics due to the computational costs required to run simulations long enough to sample rare events. We de…
Beyond Forcing Scenarios: Predicting Climate Change through Response Operators in a Coupled General Circulation Model
Valerio Lembo, Valerio Lucarini, Francesco Ragone
Global Climate Models are key tools for predicting the future response of the climate system to a variety of natural and anthropogenic forcings. Here we show how to use statistical…
Computation of extremes values of time averaged observables in climate models with large deviation techniques
Francesco Ragone, Freddy Bouchet
One of the goals of climate science is to characterize the statistics of extreme and potentially dangerous events in the present and future climate. Extreme events like heat waves,…
Computation of extreme heat waves in climate models using a large deviation algorithm
Francesco Ragone, Jeroen Wouters, Freddy Bouchet
Studying extreme events and how they evolve in a changing climate is one of the most important current scientific challenges. Starting from complex climate models, a key difficulty…