3 papers
stat.ME2026
Clustering extremal dependence structures via Wasserstein distances between angular measures
Kamal Gasser, Francesco Ragone, Johan Segers
Compound extreme events cause damage out of proportion to their frequency, and grouping random vectors by their joint extremal behaviour is a recurring task in climate science, hyd…
physics.ao-ph2026
A mathematical framework for dynamic emergent constraints in climate science
Francesco Ragone, Valerio Lucarini
Emergent constraints in climate science are empirical relations that link the response to a forcing of a physical observable to the properties of other observables, with the aim of…
stat.AP2026
A spatio-temporal statistical framework for heatwave attribution under climate change
Kamal Gasser, Johan Segers, Francesco Ragone
We develop a unified statistical framework for attributing heatwaves as spatio-temporal phenomena under climate change. We quantify the impact of anthropogenic forcing on the proba…