output
20072025
most citedStatistical Postprocessing for Weather Forecasts -- Review, Challenges and Avenues in a Big Data World

205 citations

48 papers

astro-ph.EP2025★ 14 cited

Catastrophic disruption of asteroid 2023 CX1 and implications for planetary defense

Auriane Egal, Denis Vida, François Colas +94

Mitigation of the threat from airbursting asteroids requires an understanding of the potential risk they pose for the ground. How asteroids release their kinetic energy in the atmo…

physics.ao-ph2025★ 3 cited

Dynamic and thermodynamic contributions to future extreme-rainfall intensification: a case study for Belgium

Jozefien Schoofs, Kobe Vandelanotte, Hans Van de Vyver +5

Extreme precipitation is projected to become more frequent and more intense due to climate change and associated thermodynamical effects, but the local response of atmospheric circ…

cs.LG2024★ 2 cited

Self-attentive Transformer for Fast and Accurate Postprocessing of Temperature and Wind Speed Forecasts

Aaron Van Poecke, Tobias Sebastian Finn, Ruoke Meng +6

Current postprocessing techniques often require separate models for each lead time and disregard possible inter-ensemble relationships by either correcting each member separately o…

physics.ao-ph2023★ 7 cited

Robust intra-model teleconnection patterns for extreme heatwaves

George Miloshevich, Philippine Rouby-Poizat, Francesco Ragone +1

We investigate the statistics and dynamics of extreme heat waves over different areas of Europe. We find heatwaves over France and Scandinavia to be associated with recurrent waven…

cond-mat.quant-gas2022

Interface potential and line tension for Bose-Einstein condensate mixtures near a hard wall

Bert Van Schaeybroeck, Patrick Navez, Joseph O. Indekeu

Within Gross-Pitaevskii (GP) theory we derive the interface potential V (l) which describes the interaction between the interface separating two demixed Bose-condensed gases and an…

cond-mat.stat-mech2021

Brownian motion in a growing population of ballistic particles

Nathaniel V. Mon Père, Pierre de Buyl, Sophie de Buyl

We investigate the motility of a growing population of cells in a idealized setting: we consider a system of hard disks in which new particles are added according to prescribed gro…

physics.ao-ph2021★ 9 cited

Identifying efficient ensemble perturbations for initializing subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction

Jonathan Demaeyer, Stephen G. Penny, Stéphane Vannitsem

The prediction of the weather at subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) timescales is dependent on both initial and boundary conditions. An open question is how to best initialize a relativ…

cond-mat.stat-mech2021★ 35 cited

Applications of large deviation theory in geophysical fluid dynamics and climate science

Vera Melinda Galfi, Valerio Lucarini, Francesco Ragone +1

The climate system is a complex, chaotic system with many degrees of freedom and variability on a vast range of temporal and spatial scales. Attaining a deeper level of understandi…

cond-mat.soft2021

Lees-Edwards boundary conditions for translation invariant shear flow: implementation and transport properties

Sebastian Bindgen, Florian Weik, Rudolf Weeber +2

Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations represent a powerful investigation tool in the field of soft matter. By using shear flows, one can probe the bulk rheology of complex fluids, al…

cs.LG2021★ 93 cited

Deep Learning-based Extreme Heatwave Forecast

Valérian Jacques-Dumas, Francesco Ragone, Pierre Borgnat +2

Because of the impact of extreme heat waves and heat domes on society and biodiversity, their study is a key challenge. We specifically study long-lasting extreme heat waves, which…

physics.ao-ph2021★ 11 cited

Extratropical low-frequency variability with ENSO forcing: A reduced-order coupled model study

Stéphane Vannitsem, Jonathan Demaeyer, Michael Ghil

The impact of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the extratropics is investigated in an idealized, reduced-order model that has a tropical and an extratropical module. Unid…

physics.ao-ph2021★ 3 cited

Dual View on Clear-Sky Top-of-Atmosphere Albedos from Meteosat Second Generation Satellites

Alexandre Payez, Steven Dewitte, Nicolas Clerbaux

Geostationary observations offer the unique opportunity to resolve the diurnal cycle of the Earth's Radiation Budget at the top of the atmosphere (TOA), crucial for climate-change…

astro-ph.IM2020★ 19 cited

FRIPON: A worldwide network to track incoming meteoroids

F. Colas, B. Zanda, S. Bouley +14

Context: Until recently, camera networks designed for monitoring fireballs worldwide were not fully automated, implying that in case of a meteorite fall, the recovery campaign was…

physics.ao-ph2020★ 69 cited

Rare event algorithm study of extreme warm summers and heat waves over Europe

Francesco Ragone, Freddy Bouchet

The analysis of extremes in climate models is hindered by the lack of statistics due to the computational costs required to run simulations long enough to sample rare events. We de…

physics.ao-ph2020★ 205 cited

Statistical Postprocessing for Weather Forecasts -- Review, Challenges and Avenues in a Big Data World

Stéphane Vannitsem, John Bjørnar Bremnes, Jonathan Demaeyer +21

Statistical postprocessing techniques are nowadays key components of the forecasting suites in many National Meteorological Services (NMS), with for most of them, the objective of…

physics.ao-ph2020★ 22 cited

On temporal scale separation in coupled data assimilation with the ensemble Kalman filter

Maxime Tondeur, Alberto Carrassi, Stephane Vannitsem +1

Coupled data assimilation (CDA) distinctively appears as a main concern in numerical weather and climate prediction with major efforts put forward worldwide. The core issue is the…

physics.ao-ph2019★ 9 cited

On the use of near-neutral Backward Lyapunov Vectors to get reliable ensemble forecasts in coupled ocean-atmosphere systems

Stéphane Vannitsem, Wansuo Duan

The use of coupled Backward Lyapunov Vectors (BLV) for ensemble forecast is demonstrated in a coupled ocean-atmosphere system of reduced order, the Modular Arbitrary Order Ocean-At…

physics.ao-ph2019★ 6 cited

Correcting for Model Changes in Statistical Postprocessing -- An approach based on Response Theory

Jonathan Demaeyer, Stéphane Vannitsem

For most statistical postprocessing schemes used to correct weather forecasts, changes to the forecast model induce a considerable reforecasting effort. We present a new approach b…

physics.med-ph2019★ 5 cited

European research on magnetic nanoparticles for biomedical applications: standardisation aspects

Peter Schier, Craig Barton, Simo Spassov +12

Magnetic nanoparticles have many applications in biomedicine and other technical areas. Despite their huge economic impact, there are no standardised procedures available to measur…

physics.ao-ph2019★ 3 cited

Routes to long-term atmospheric predictability in reduced-order coupled ocean-atmosphere systems -- Impact of the ocean basin boundary conditions

Stéphane Vannitsem, Roman Solé-Pomies, Lesley De Cruz

The predictability of the atmosphere at short and long time scales, associated with the coupling to the ocean, is explored in a new version of the Modular Arbitrary-Order Ocean-Atm…

physics.ao-ph2018★ 13 cited

Comparison of stochastic parameterizations in the framework of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model

Jonathan Demaeyer, Stéphane Vannitsem

A new framework is proposed for the evaluation of stochastic subgrid-scale parameterizations in the context of MAOOAM, a coupled ocean-atmosphere model of intermediate complexity.…

physics.ao-ph2017★ 31 cited

Exploring the Lyapunov instability properties of high-dimensional atmospheric and climate models

Lesley De Cruz, Sebastian Schubert, Jonathan Demaeyer +2

The stability properties of intermediate-order climate models are investigated by computing their Lyapunov exponents (LEs). The two models considered are PUMA (Portable University…

nlin.CD2017★ 75 cited

Predictability of large-scale atmospheric motions: Lyapunov exponents and error dynamics

Stéphane Vannitsem

The deterministic equations describing the dynamics of the atmosphere (and of the climate system) are known to display the property of sensitivity to initial conditions. In the erg…

physics.ao-ph2016★ 83 cited

Recent progress and review of issues related to Physics Dynamics Coupling in geophysical models

Markus Gross, Hui Wan, Philip J. Rasch +19

Geophysical models of the atmosphere and ocean invariably involve parameterizations. These represent two distinct areas: Subgrid processes that the model cannot resolve, and diabat…