264 citations
- University of OsloNO17 papers
- UiT The Arctic University of NorwayNO16 papers
- Centre for Arctic Gas Hydrate, Environment and ClimateNO4 papers
- Heidelberg UniversityDE4 papers
- Michigan State UniversityUS3 papers
- Norwegian University of Science and TechnologyNO3 papers
- General Electric (Norway)NO2 papers
- Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical StudiesDE2 papers
- National Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationUS2 papers
- Norwegian Meteorological InstituteNO2 papers
- Oslo University HospitalNO2 papers
- Université Sorbonne Paris NordFR2 papers
3 papers · 2 filters
Assessing the calibration of high-dimensional ensemble forecasts using rank histograms
Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Michael Scheuerer, Christopher Heinz
Any decision making process that relies on a probabilistic forecast of future events necessarily requires a calibrated forecast. This paper proposes new methods for empirically ass…
Uncertainty Quantification in Complex Simulation Models Using Ensemble Copula Coupling
Roman Schefzik, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Tilmann Gneiting
Critical decisions frequently rely on high-dimensional output from complex computer simulation models that show intricate cross-variable, spatial and temporal dependence structures…
Using proper divergence functions to evaluate climate models
Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Tilmann Gneiting, Nadine Gissibl
It has been argued persuasively that, in order to evaluate climate models, the probability distributions of model output need to be compared to the corresponding empirical distribu…