activity
20102021
most citedPredicting Inflation: Professional Experts Versus No-Change Forecasts

13 citations · 15 across the 10 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

14 papers

stat.AP2021

Assessing present and future risk of water damage using building attributes, meteorology and topography

Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Jens Christian Wahl, Alba Ordonez +4

Weather-related risk makes the insurance industry inevitably concerned with climate and climate change. Buildings hit by pluvial flooding is a key manifestation of this risk, givin…

stat.ME2021

Validation of point process predictions with proper scoring rules

Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Peter Guttorp +1

We introduce a class of proper scoring rules for evaluating spatial point process forecasts based on summary statistics. These scoring rules rely on Monte-Carlo approximations of e…

physics.geo-ph2019

Non-stationarity in Esbjerg sea-level returnlevels: Applications in climate change adaptation

Peter Thejll, Peter Guttorp, Martin Drews +4

Non-stationary time series modelling is applied to long tidal records from Esbjerg, Denmark, and coupled to climate change projections for sea-level and storminess, to produce proj…

stat.AP2019

Rapid adjustment and post-processing of temperature forecast trajectories

Nina Schuhen, Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Alex Lenkoski

Modern weather forecasts are commonly issued as consistent multi-day forecast trajectories with a time resolution of 1-3 hours. Prior to issuing, statistical post-processing is rou…

stat.ME2019

Multivariate postprocessing methods for high-dimensional seasonal weather forecasts

Claudio Heinrich, Kristoffer H. Hellton, Alex Lenkoski +1

Seasonal weather forecasts are crucial for long-term planning in many practical situations and skillful forecasts may have substantial economic and humanitarian implications. Curre…

stat.AP2019

New approach for stochastic downscaling and bias correction of daily mean temperatures to a high-resolution grid

Qifen Yuan, Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Stein Beldring +3

In applications of climate information, coarse-resolution climate projections commonly need to be downscaled to a finer grid. One challenge of this requirement is the modeling of s…