264 citations · 904 across the 34 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers · 1 filter
Forecast verification for extreme value distributions with an application to probabilistic peak wind prediction
Petra Friederichs, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir
Predictions of the uncertainty associated with extreme events are a vital component of any prediction system for such events. Consequently, the prediction system ought to be probab…
Multivariate probabilistic forecasting using Bayesian model averaging and copulas
Annette Möller, Alex Lenkoski, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir
We propose a method for post-processing an ensemble of multivariate forecasts in order to obtain a joint predictive distribution of weather. Our method utilizes existing univariate…
Ensemble model output statistics for wind vectors
Nina Schuhen, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Tilmann Gneiting
A bivariate ensemble model output statistics (EMOS) technique for the postprocessing of ensemble forecasts of two-dimensional wind vectors is proposed, where the postprocessed prob…