13 citations · 17 across the 15 of their papers we have counts for
13 papers · 1 filter
Flood risk estimation via geometric extremal graphical models
Kristina Grolmusova, Jennifer L. Wadsworth, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir
We exploit the new framework of multivariate geometric extreme value theory for the statistical analysis of river flow extremes at multiple locations on a river network. Current me…
A spatial duration-augmented framework for drought persistence
Touqeer Ahmad, Thordis Linda Thorarinsdottir
Drought monitoring across heterogeneous climate regions requires explicit modeling of drought persistence rather than relying solely on index classification. We develop a Bayesian…
Simulation and evaluation of local daily temperature and precipitation series derived by stochastic downscaling of ERA5 reanalysis
Silius M. Vandeskog, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Alex Lenkoski
Reanalysis products such as the ERA5 reanalysis are commonly used as proxies for observed atmospheric conditions. These products are convenient to use due to their global coverage,…
Applications of machine learning to predict seasonal precipitation for East Africa
Michael Scheuerer, Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Titike K. Bahaga +2
Seasonal climate forecasts are commonly based on model runs from fully coupled forecasting systems that use Earth system models to represent interactions between the atmosphere, oc…
Assessing present and future risk of water damage using building attributes, meteorology and topography
Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Jens Christian Wahl, Alba Ordonez +4
Weather-related risk makes the insurance industry inevitably concerned with climate and climate change. Buildings hit by pluvial flooding is a key manifestation of this risk, givin…
Rapid adjustment and post-processing of temperature forecast trajectories
Nina Schuhen, Thordis Thorarinsdottir, Alex Lenkoski
Modern weather forecasts are commonly issued as consistent multi-day forecast trajectories with a time resolution of 1-3 hours. Prior to issuing, statistical post-processing is rou…