195 citations · 408 across the 22 of their papers we have counts for
27 papers
Dynamic factor and double PCA models for partially observed survival curves: Forecasting demand in short-term rental markets
Marthe Elisabeth Aastveit, Alex Lenkoski, Thordis Thorarinsdottir
This paper develops prediction models for population-level survival curves observed over time and sampled from a heterogeneous mix of populations. We consider a discrete-time setti…
Short-term rental market occupancy - daily time series for 2017-2022 on 500 markets worldwide
Marthe Elisabeth Aastveit, Andreas Buschermöhle, Alex Lenkoski +1
Short-term vacation rentals, as promoted by platforms such as Airbnb, Homeaway, Vrbo, etc., are a growing component of the travel industry. This paper provides a unique, large data…
Simulation and evaluation of local daily temperature and precipitation series derived by stochastic downscaling of ERA5 reanalysis
Silius M. Vandeskog, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Alex Lenkoski
Reanalysis products such as the ERA5 reanalysis are commonly used as proxies for observed atmospheric conditions. These products are convenient to use due to their global coverage,…
Combining predictive distributions for time-to-event outcomes in meteorology
Céline Cunen, Thea Roksvåg, Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching +1
Combining forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction (NWP) models have shown substantial benefit over the use of individual forecast products. Although combination, in a…
Gaussian copula modeling of extreme cold and weak-wind events over Europe conditioned on winter weather regimes
Paulina Tedesco, Alex Lenkoski, Hannah C. Bloomfield +1
A transition to renewable energy is needed to mitigate climate change. In Europe, this transition has been led by wind energy, which is one of the fastest growing energy sources. H…
Probabilistic prediction of the time to hard freeze using seasonal weather forecasts and survival time methods
Thea Roksvåg, Alex Lenkoski, Michael Scheuerer +2
Agricultural food production and natural ecological systems depend on a range of seasonal climate indicators that describe seasonal patterns in climatological conditions. This pape…