output
20092025
most citedUncertainty Quantification in Complex Simulation Models Using Ensemble Copula Coupling

264 citations

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19 papers · 1 filter

stat.AP2025

Simulation and evaluation of local daily temperature and precipitation series derived by stochastic downscaling of ERA5 reanalysis

Silius M. Vandeskog, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Alex Lenkoski

Reanalysis products such as the ERA5 reanalysis are commonly used as proxies for observed atmospheric conditions. These products are convenient to use due to their global coverage,…

stat.AP2025★ 3 cited

Adding smoothing splines to the SAM model improves stock assessment

Silius M. Vandeskog, Magne Aldrin, Daniel Howell +1

The stock assessment model SAM contains a large number of age-dependent parameters that must be manually grouped together to obtain robust inference. This can make the model select…

stat.AP2022★ 2 cited

Probabilistic prediction of the time to hard freeze using seasonal weather forecasts and survival time methods

Thea Roksvåg, Alex Lenkoski, Michael Scheuerer +2

Agricultural food production and natural ecological systems depend on a range of seasonal climate indicators that describe seasonal patterns in climatological conditions. This pape…

stat.AP2021★ 6 cited

Quantile based modelling of diurnal temperature range with the five-parameter lambda distribution

Silius M. Vandeskog, Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir, Ingelin Steinsland +1

Diurnal temperature range is an important variable in climate science that can provide information regarding climate variability and climate change. Changes in diurnal temperature…

stat.AP2020★ 9 cited

On the number of bins in a rank histogram

Claudio Heinrich

Rank histograms are popular tools for assessing the reliability of meteorological ensemble forecast systems. A reliable forecast system leads to a uniform rank histogram, and devia…

stat.AP2020★ 1 cited

A Bayesian binomial regression model with latent Gaussian processes for modelling DNA methylation

Aliaksandr Hubin, Geir O Storvik, Paul E Grini +1

Epigenetic observations are represented by the total number of reads from a given pool of cells and the number of methylated reads, making it reasonable to model this data by a bin…