output
20072026
most citedManaging extreme AI risks amid rapid progress

307 citations

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11 papers · 1 filter

stat.AP2025★ 1 cited

The Longitudinal Health, Income, and Employment Model (LHIEM): a discrete-time microsimulation model for policy analysis

Adrienne M. Propp, Raffaele Vardavas, Carter C. Price +1

Dynamic microsimulation has long been recognized as a powerful tool for policy analysis, but in fact most major health policy simulations lack path dependency, a critical feature f…

stat.AP2018★ 6 cited

Student Log-Data from a Randomized Evaluation of Educational Technology: A Causal Case Study

Adam C Sales, John F Pane

Randomized evaluations of educational technology produce log data as a bi-product: highly granular data student and teacher usage. These datasets could shed light on causal mechani…

stat.AP2017★ 3 cited

The Role of Mastery Learning in Intelligent Tutoring Systems: Principal Stratification on a Latent Variable

Adam C. Sales, John F. Pane

Students in Algebra I classrooms typically learn at different rates and struggle at different points in the curriculum---a common challenge for math teachers. Cognitive Tutor Algeb…

stat.AP2015★ 1 cited

Modeling for Dynamic Ordinal Regression Relationships: An Application to Estimating Maturity of Rockfish in California

Maria DeYoreo, Athanasios Kottas

We develop a Bayesian nonparametric framework for modeling ordinal regression relationships which evolve in discrete time. The motivating application involves a key problem in fish…

stat.AP2014★ 2 cited

Editorial

Susan M. Paddock

Clauset and Woodard (2013) ask, "What is the likelihood of another September 11th-sized or larger terrorist event, worldwide, over the next decade?" This question has implications…

stat.AP2013★ 5 cited

Bayesian nonparametric hierarchical modeling for multiple membership data in grouped attendance interventions

Terrance D. Savitsky, Susan M. Paddock

We develop a dependent Dirichlet process (DDP) model for repeated measures multiple membership (MM) data. This data structure arises in studies under which an intervention is deliv…

stat.AP2011★ 17 cited

Missing data in value-added modeling of teacher effects

Daniel F. McCaffrey, J. R. Lockwood

The increasing availability of longitudinal student achievement data has heightened interest among researchers, educators and policy makers in using these data to evaluate educatio…

stat.AP2011★ 20 cited

Analysis of rolling group therapy data using conditionally autoregressive priors

Susan M. Paddock, Sarah B. Hunter, Katherine E. Watkins +1

Group therapy is a central treatment modality for behavioral health disorders such as alcohol and other drug use (AOD) and depression. Group therapy is often delivered under a roll…

stat.AP2010★ 16 cited

Detection of radioactive material entering national ports: A Bayesian approach to radiation portal data

Siddhartha R. Dalal, Bing Han

Given the potential for illicit nuclear material being used for terrorism, most ports now inspect a large number of goods entering national borders for radioactive cargo. The U.S.…

stat.AP2008★ 20 cited

An application of principal stratification to control for institutionalization at follow-up in studies of substance abuse treatment programs

Beth Ann Griffin, Daniel F. McCaffrey, Andrew R. Morral

Participants in longitudinal studies on the effects of drug treatment and criminal justice system interventions are at high risk for institutionalization (e.g., spending time in an…

stat.AP2007★ 37 cited

Controlling for individual heterogeneity in longitudinal models, with applications to student achievement

J. R. Lockwood, Daniel F. McCaffrey

Longitudinal data tracking repeated measurements on individuals are highly valued for research because they offer controls for unmeasured individual heterogeneity that might otherw…