1 citations
Counting papers with at most 25 authors, so collaboration author lists do not stand in for the people here.
- Uppsala UniversitySE2 papers
- Bjerknes Centre for Climate ResearchNO1 paper
- Early Warning (United States)US1 paper
- Earth Science Institute of the Slovak Academy of SciencesSK1 paper
- Federal Institute of HydrologyDE1 paper
- Fundação de Economia e Estatística Siegfried Emanuel HeuserBR1 paper
- Georgia Institute of TechnologyUS1 paper
- Institut d'Anàlisi EconòmicaES1 paper
- Institute of Mathematical StatisticsUS1 paper
- Met OfficeGB1 paper
- NOAA Oceanic and Atmospheric ResearchUS1 paper
- North Carolina State UniversityUS1 paper
Showing 2024Show all
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stat.ME2024
Bin-Conditional Conformal Prediction of Fatalities from Armed Conflict
David Randahl, Jonathan P. Williams, Håvard Hegre
Forecasting armed conflicts is a critical area of research with the potential to save lives and mitigate suffering. While existing forecasting models offer valuable point predictio…
stat.AP2024
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge: Predicting the Number of Fatalities in Armed Conflict, with Uncertainty
Håvard Hegre, Paola Vesco, Michael Colaresi +37
This draft article outlines a prediction challenge where the target is to forecast the number of fatalities in armed conflicts, in the form of the UCDP `best' estimates, aggregated…