49 citations
- Consejo Superior de Investigaciones CientíficasES2 papers
- Barcelona School of EconomicsES1 paper
- Chapman UniversityUS1 paper
- Early Warning (United States)US1 paper
- Education and Research InstituteUS1 paper
- Fundação de Economia e Estatística Siegfried Emanuel HeuserBR1 paper
- Georgia Institute of TechnologyUS1 paper
- InsperBR1 paper
- Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education PolicySE1 paper
- Institute of Mathematical StatisticsUS1 paper
- Peace Research Institute OsloNO1 paper
- Pennsylvania State UniversityUS1 paper
5 papers
A Lifecycle Estimator of Intergenerational Income Mobility
Ursula Mello, Martin Nybom, Jan Stuhler
Lacking lifetime income data, most intergenerational mobility estimates are subject to lifecycle bias. Using long income series from Sweden and the US, we illustrate that standard…
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge: Predicting the Number of Fatalities in Armed Conflict, with Uncertainty
Håvard Hegre, Paola Vesco, Michael Colaresi +37
This draft article outlines a prediction challenge where the target is to forecast the number of fatalities in armed conflicts, in the form of the UCDP `best' estimates, aggregated…
Monitoring War Destruction from Space: A Machine Learning Approach
Hannes Mueller, Andre Groger, Jonathan Hersh +2
Existing data on building destruction in conflict zones rely on eyewitness reports or manual detection, which makes it generally scarce, incomplete and potentially biased. This lac…
Inference under random limit bootstrap measures
Giuseppe Cavaliere, Iliyan Georgiev
Asymptotic bootstrap validity is usually understood as consistency of the distribution of a bootstrap statistic, conditional on the data, for the unconditional limit distribution o…
Finitely additive beliefs and universal type spaces
Martin Meier
The probabilistic type spaces in the sense of Harsanyi [Management Sci. 14 (1967/68) 159--182, 320--334, 486--502] are the prevalent models used to describe interactive uncertainty…