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20222025
most citedHow is model-related uncertainty quantified and reported in different disciplines?

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stat.ME2024

Bin-Conditional Conformal Prediction of Fatalities from Armed Conflict

David Randahl, Jonathan P. Williams, Håvard Hegre

Forecasting armed conflicts is a critical area of research with the potential to save lives and mitigate suffering. While existing forecasting models offer valuable point predictio…