output
20152026
most citedEstimating model evidence using data assimilation

35 citations

14 papers

nlin.CD2026★ 28 cited

Templex: a bridge between homologies and templates for chaotic attractors

Gisela D. Charó, Christophe Letellier, Denisse Sciamarella

The theory of homologies introduces cell complexes to provide an algebraic description of spaces up to topological equivalence. Attractors in state space can be studied using Branc…

nlin.CD2026★ 8 cited

Templex-based dynamical units for a taxonomy of chaos

Caterina Mosto, Gisela D. Charó, Christophe Letellier +1

Discriminating different types of chaos is still a very challenging topic, even for dissipative three-dimensional systems for which the most advanced tool is the template. Neverthe…

math.DS2026

Functorial invariants for chaos topology from data

Denisse Sciamarella

The templex is a topological object bridging homologies and templates for chaotic dynamics. This article places the templex within category theory, introducing a directed path alge…

physics.flu-dyn2025★ 4 cited

The macroscopic contact angle of water on ice

W. Sarlin, D. V. Papa, R. Grivet +4

Wettability quantifies the affinity of a liquid over a substrate, and determines whether the surface is repellent or not. When both the liquid and the solid phases are made of the…

physics.flu-dyn2025★ 1 cited

Free surface topography of capillary flows using spatiotemporal phase shifting profilometry

Hélie de Miramon, Wladimir Sarlin, Axel Huerre +3

We present a novel experimental technique to characterize the free surface of capillary flows adapted from the Spatio-Temporal Phase Shifting Profilometry (ST-PSP) method introduce…

physics.ao-ph2023

Online machine-learning forecast uncertainty estimation for sequential data assimilation

Maximiliano A. Sacco, Manuel Pulido, Juan J. Ruiz +1

Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporat…

cs.LG2021★ 19 cited

Evaluation of Machine Learning Techniques for Forecast Uncertainty Quantification

Maximiliano A. Sacco, Juan J. Ruiz, Manuel Pulido +1

Ensemble forecasting is, so far, the most successful approach to produce relevant forecasts with an estimation of their uncertainty. The main limitations of ensemble forecasting ar…

stat.AP2021★ 17 cited

Inference in epidemiological agent-based models using ensemble-based data assimilation

Tadeo Javier Cocucci, Manuel Pulido, Juan Aparicio +3

To represent the complex individual interactions in the dynamics of disease spread informed by data, the coupling of an epidemiological agent-based model with the ensemble Kalman f…

nlin.CD2020

Noise-driven Topological Changes in Chaotic Dynamics

Gisela D. Charó, Mickaël D. Chekroun, Denisse Sciamarella +1

Noise modifies the behavior of chaotic systems in both quantitative and qualitative ways. To study these modifications, the present work compares the topological structure of the d…

physics.ao-ph2019★ 13 cited

Stability of the Malvinas Current

FJ Beron-Vera, N. Bodnariuk, M. Saraceno +2

Deterministic and probabilistic tools from nonlinear dynamics are used to assess enduring near-surface Lagrangian aspects of the Malvinas Current. The deterministic tools are appli…

stat.CO2018★ 14 cited

Inference of stochastic parameterizations for model error treatment using nested ensemble Kalman filters

Guillermo Scheffler, Juan Ruiz, Manuel Pulido

Stochastic parameterizations are increasingly being used to represent the uncertainty associated with model errors in ensemble forecasting and data assimilation. One of the challen…

stat.AP2017★ 30 cited

Probabilities of causation of climate changes

Alexis Hannart, Philippe Naveau

Multiple changes in Earth's climate system have been observed over the past decades. Determining how likely each of these changes are to have been caused by human influence, is imp…

stat.AP2016★ 35 cited

Estimating model evidence using data assimilation

Alberto Carrassi, Marc Bocquet, Alexis Hannart +1

We review the field of data assimilation (DA) from a Bayesian perspective and show that, in addition to its by now common application to state estimation, DA may be used for model…

stat.AP2015★ 1 cited

DADA: Data Assimilation for the Detection and Attribution of Weather- and Climate-related Events

Alexis Hannart, Alberto Carrassi, Marc Bocquet +5

We describe a new approach allowing for systematic causal attribution of weather and climate-related events, in near-real time. The method is purposely designed to facilitate its i…