output
20032026
most citedTarget atmospheric CO2: Where should humanity aim?

967 citations

122 papers

nlin.CD2026★ 8 cited

Templex-based dynamical units for a taxonomy of chaos

Caterina Mosto, Gisela D. Charó, Christophe Letellier +1

Discriminating different types of chaos is still a very challenging topic, even for dissipative three-dimensional systems for which the most advanced tool is the template. Neverthe…

physics.ao-ph2026★ 1 cited

Atmospheric Methane Removal as a Third Climate Intervention: Termination Risks and Air Pollutant Effects

Katsumasa Tanaka, Weiwei Xiong, Didier A. Hauglustaine +8

Atmospheric Methane Removal (AMR) is a third class of climate intervention, along with Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) and Solar Radiation Management (SRM). We show that, unlike CDR,…

cs.LG2025

Achieving Skilled and Reliable Daily Probabilistic Forecasts of Wind Power at Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Timescales over France

Eloi Lindas, Yannig Goude, Philippe Ciais

In a growing renewable based energy system, accurate and reliable wind power forecasts are crucial for grid stability, balancing supply and demand and market risk management. Even…

stat.ME2025

Multivariate distributional modeling of low, moderate, and large intensities without threshold selection steps

Carlo Gaetan, Philippe Naveau

In fields such as hydrology and climatology, modelling the entire distribution of positive data is essential, as stakeholders require insights into the full range of values, from l…

stat.ME2025

Joint modeling of low and high extremes using a multivariate extended generalized Pareto distribution

Noura Alotaibi, Matthew Sainsbury-Dale, Philippe Naveau +2

In most risk assessment studies, it is important to accurately capture the entire distribution of the multivariate random vector of interest from low to high values. For example, i…

stat.ME2025

Multivariate Discrete Generalized Pareto Distributions: Theory, Simulation, and Applications to Dry spells

Samira Aka, Marie Kratz, Philippe Naveau

This article extends the multivariate extreme value theory (MEVT) to discrete settings, focusing on the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) as a foundational tool. The purpose of…