138 citations · 264 across the 25 of their papers we have counts for
28 papers
Meeting and coalescence times for random walks in the largest component of the Erdős-Rényi random graph
Vyacheslav Koval, Yuval Peres, Pieter Trapman
We prove that the stationary and worst-case expected meeting times of two independent continuous-time random walks on the largest component of the Erdős-Rényi random graph …
Modelling the spread of two successive SIR epidemics on a configuration model network
Frank Ball, Abid Ali Lashari, David Sirl +1
We present a stochastic model for two successive SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemics in the same network structured population. Individuals infected during the first…
Possible counter-intuitive impact of local vaccine mandates for vaccine-preventable infectious diseases
Maddalena Donà, Pieter Trapman
We model the impact of local vaccine mandates on the spread of vaccine-preventable infectious diseases, which in the absence of vaccines will mainly affect children. Examples of su…
SIR epidemics in populations with large sub-communities
Frank Ball, David Sirl, Pieter Trapman
We investigate final outcome properties of an SIR (susceptible infective recovered) epidemic model defined on a population of large sub-communities in which there is st…
The risk for a new COVID-19 wave -- and how it depends on , the current immunity level and current restrictions
Tom Britton, Pieter Trapman, Frank Ball
The COVID-19 pandemic has hit different parts of the world differently: some regions are still in the rise of the first wave, other regions are now facing a decline after a first w…
Key Questions for Modelling COVID-19 Exit Strategies
Robin N Thompson, T Deirdre Hollingsworth, Valerie Isham +40
Combinations of intense non-pharmaceutical interventions ('lockdowns') were introduced in countries worldwide to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Many governments have begun to impl…