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20082020
most citedKey Questions for Modelling COVID-19 Exit Strategies

138 citations · 139 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing math.PRShow all

6 papers · 1 filter

math.PR2018

The duration of an epidemic on a configuration model

Abid Ali Lashari, Ana Serafimović, Pieter Trapman

We consider the spread of a supercritical stochastic SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemic on a configuration model random graph. We mainly focus on the final stages of…

math.PR2018

SIR epidemics and vaccination on random graphs with clustering

Carolina Fransson, Pieter Trapman

In this paper we consider SIR epidemics on random graphs with clustering. To incorporate group structure of the underlying social network, we use a generalized version of the confi…

math.PR2018

Who is the infector? General multi-type epidemics and real-time susceptibility processes

Tom Britton, Ka Yin Leung, Pieter Trapman

We couple a multi-type stochastic epidemic process with a directed random graph, where edges have random lengths. This random graph representation is used to characterise the fract…

math.PR2015

An epidemic in a dynamic population with importation of infectives

Frank Ball, Tom Britton, Pieter Trapman

Consider a large uniformly mixing dynamic population, which has constant birth rate and exponentially distributed lifetimes, with mean population size . A Markovian SIR (suscept…

math.PR2010

Maximizing the size of the giant

Tom Britton, Pieter Trapman

We consider two classes of random graphs: Poissonian random graphs in which the vertices in the graph have i.i.d.\ weights distributed as , where .…

math.PR20081 cited

A useful relationship between epidemiology and queueing theory

Pieter Trapman, Martin Bootsma

In this paper we establish a relation between the spread of infectious diseases and the dynamics of so called M/G/1 queues with processor sharing. The in epidemiology well known re…