7 citations · 10 across the 2 of their papers we have counts for
2 papers
physics.ao-ph2009★ 3 cited
Improving the expected accuracy of forecasts of future climate using a simple bias-variance tradeoff
Stephen Jewson, Ed Hawkins
We describe a simple method that utilises the standard idea of bias-variance trade-off to improve the expected accuracy of numerical model forecasts of future climate. The method c…
physics.ao-ph2009★ 7 cited
CMIP3 ensemble spread, model similarity, and climate prediction uncertainty
Stephen Jewson, Ed Hawkins
The CMIP3 multi-model ensemble spread most likely underestimates the real model uncertainty in future climate predictions because of the similarity, and shared defects, of the mode…