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stat.ML2024
Probabilistic Conformal Prediction with Approximate Conditional Validity
Vincent Plassier, Alexander Fishkov, Mohsen Guizani +2
We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution . Existing…
stat.ML2024★ 2 cited
From Risk to Uncertainty: Generating Predictive Uncertainty Measures via Bayesian Estimation
Nikita Kotelevskii, Vladimir Kondratyev, Martin Takáč +2
There are various measures of predictive uncertainty in the literature, but their relationships to each other remain unclear. This paper uses a decomposition of statistical pointwi…