activity
20232026
most citedFrom Risk to Uncertainty: Generating Predictive Uncertainty Measures via Bayesian Estimation

2 citations · 3 across the 12 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

13 papers

cs.LG2026

One-Step Generation via Riemannian Wasserstein Gradient Flows

David Li, Chanhyuk Lee, Jaehoon Yoo +7

Recently, Drifting Models and Wasserstein Gradient Flows have attracted substantial attention because they move iterative distributional refinement to training and amortize it into…

cs.LG2026

Optimizers for Diffusion Models: A Controlled Benchmark

Arman Bolatov, Egor Shulgin, David Li +6

Discrete diffusion models now match autoregressive language models on several benchmarks, while the question of how best to train them has received far less attention: the optimize…

cs.LG2025

Uncertainty Quantification for Regression using Proper Scoring Rules

Alexander Fishkov, Kajetan Schweighofer, Mykyta Ielanskyi +3

Quantifying uncertainty of machine learning model predictions is essential for reliable decision-making, especially in safety-critical applications. Recently, uncertainty quantific…

stat.ML2025

Neural Optimal Transport Meets Multivariate Conformal Prediction

Vladimir Kondratyev, Alexander Fishkov, Nikita Kotelevskii +4

We propose a framework for conditional vector quantile regression (CVQR) that combines neural optimal transport with amortized optimization, and apply it to multivariate conformal…

stat.ML2025

Multidimensional Uncertainty Quantification via Optimal Transport

Nikita Kotelevskii, Maiya Goloburda, Vladimir Kondratyev +4

Most uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches provide a single scalar value as a measure of model reliability. However, different uncertainty measures could provide complementary…

cs.LG2025

Who to Trust? Aggregating Client Predictions in Federated Distillation

Viktor Kovalchuk, Denis Son, Arman Bolatov +6

Under data heterogeneity (e.g., ), clients may produce unreliable predictions for instances belonging to unfamiliar classes. An equally weighted combinatio…

stat.ML2025

Adaptive Cumulative Mass Calibration with Conformal Prediction

Daniil Kazantsev, Eric Moulines, Maxim Panov +2

Reliable probability estimates by classifiers are essential in high-risk applications. In practice, however, predicted probabilities are often miscalibrated, and many existing post…

stat.ML2025

Rectifying Conformity Scores for Better Conditional Coverage

Vincent Plassier, Alexander Fishkov, Victor Dheur +4

We present a new method for generating confidence sets within the split conformal prediction framework. Our method performs a trainable transformation of any given conformity score…

stat.ML2024

Probabilistic Conformal Prediction with Approximate Conditional Validity

Vincent Plassier, Alexander Fishkov, Mohsen Guizani +2

We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution . Existing…

cs.LG2024

Generalization error of spectral algorithms

Maksim Velikanov, Maxim Panov, Dmitry Yarotsky

The asymptotically precise estimation of the generalization of kernel methods has recently received attention due to the parallels between neural networks and their associated kern…

stat.ML2024★ 2 cited

From Risk to Uncertainty: Generating Predictive Uncertainty Measures via Bayesian Estimation

Nikita Kotelevskii, Vladimir Kondratyev, Martin Takáč +2

There are various measures of predictive uncertainty in the literature, but their relationships to each other remain unclear. This paper uses a decomposition of statistical pointwi…

stat.ML2023

Dirichlet-based Uncertainty Quantification for Personalized Federated Learning with Improved Posterior Networks

Nikita Kotelevskii, Samuel Horváth, Karthik Nandakumar +2

In modern federated learning, one of the main challenges is to account for inherent heterogeneity and the diverse nature of data distributions for different clients. This problem i…

stat.ML2023★ 1 cited

Efficient Conformal Prediction under Data Heterogeneity

Vincent Plassier, Nikita Kotelevskii, Aleksandr Rubashevskii +7

Conformal Prediction (CP) stands out as a robust framework for uncertainty quantification, which is crucial for ensuring the reliability of predictions. However, common CP methods…