4 papers
Distilling Temporal Search and Reasoning: Evolving LLMs for Future Prediction via Harness-Assisted Efficient Data Synthesis
Wanxu Cai, Zhengyu Chen, Huaisheng Zhu +3
Future event prediction carries broad social impact yet remains challenging. SOTA approaches augment LLMs with external agent frameworks whose predictive capability vanishes once t…
Learning the Context of Errors: Black-Box Online Adaptation of Time Series Foundation Models
Xilin Dai, Yiding Liu, Hongjie Xia +4
The rapid evolution of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) has advanced zero-shot forecasting across diverse domains. Inspired by the current form of Large Language Models, futur…
dInfer: An Efficient Inference Framework for Diffusion Language Models
Yuxin Ma, Lun Du, Lanning Wei +20
Diffusion-based large language models (dLLMs) have emerged as a promising alternative to autoregressive (AR) LLMs, leveraging denoising-based generation to enable inherent parallel…
From Samples to Scenarios: A New Paradigm for Probabilistic Forecasting
Xilin Dai, Zhijian Xu, Wanxu Cai +1
Most state-of-the-art probabilistic time series forecasting models rely on sampling to represent future uncertainty. However, this paradigm suffers from inherent limitations, such…