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stat.ME2022
Bayesian estimation of in-game home team win probability for Division-I FBS college football
Jason T. Maddox, Ryan Sides, Jane L. Harvill
Maddox, et al. [9, 10] establish Bayesian methods for estimating home-team in-game win probability for college and NBA basketball. This paper introduces a Bayesian approach for est…
stat.ME2022
Bayesian estimation of in-game home team win probability for college basketball
Jason Maddox, Ryan Sides, Jane Harvill
Two new Bayesian methods for estimating and predicting in-game home team win probabilities are proposed. The first method has a prior that adjusts as a function of lead differentia…