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stat.AP2022
Converting College Football Point Spread Differentials to Probabilities
Ryan Sides, Jane L. Harvill
For NCAA football, we provide a method for sports bettors to determine if they have a positive expected value bet based on the betting lines available to them and how they believe…
stat.AP2022
Bayesian estimation of in-game home team win probability for National Basketball Association games
Jason T. Maddox, Ryan Sides, Jane L. Harvill
Maddox, et al. (2022) establish a new win probability estimation for college basketball and compared the results with previous methods of Stern (1994), Desphande and Jensen (2016)…