80 citations · 188 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers
Societal self-regulation induces complex infection dynamics and chaos
Joel Wagner, Simon Bauer, Sebastian Contreras +3
Classically, endemic infectious diseases are expected to display relatively stable, predictable infection dynamics. Accordingly, basic disease models such as the susceptible-infect…
Interplay between risk perception, behaviour, and COVID-19 spread
Philipp Dönges, Joel Wagner, Sebastian Contreras +9
Pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have been crucial for controlling COVID-19. They are complemented by voluntary health-protective behaviour, building a co…
The winter dilemma
Sebastian Contreras, Philipp Dönges, Joel Wagner +8
With winter coming in the northern hemisphere, disadvantageous seasonality of SARS-CoV-2 requires high immunity levels in the population or increasing non-pharmaceutical interventi…
Relaxing restrictions at the pace of vaccination increases freedom and guards against further COVID-19 waves
Simon Bauer, Sebastian Contreras, Jonas Dehning +5
Mass vaccination offers a promising exit strategy for the COVID-19 pandemic. However, as vaccination progresses, demands to lift restrictions increase, despite most of the populati…
Low case numbers enable long-term stable pandemic control without lockdowns
Sebastian Contreras, Jonas Dehning, Sebastian B. Mohr +3
The traditional long-term solutions for epidemic control involve eradication or population immunity. Here, we analytically derive the existence of a third viable solution: a stable…