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20202026
most citedUncertainty Quantification of Sparse Travel Demand Prediction with Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks

50 citations · 206 across the 34 of their papers we have counts for

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23 papers · 1 filter

cs.LG2026

Bridge: Retrieval-Augmented Spatiotemporal Modeling for Urban Delivery Demand

Yihong Tang, Tong Nie, Junlin He +3

Forecasting urban delivery demand becomes substantially more challenging when newly added service regions lack historical records. Existing spatiotemporal forecasters effectively m…

cs.LG2026

TrustEnergy: A Unified Framework for Accurate and Reliable User-level Energy Usage Prediction

Dahai Yu, Rongchao Xu, Dingyi Zhuang +3

Energy usage prediction is important for various real-world applications, including grid management, infrastructure planning, and disaster response. Although a plethora of deep lea…

cs.LG2025

RAST-MoE-RL: A Regime-Aware Spatio-Temporal MoE Framework for Deep Reinforcement Learning in Ride-Hailing

Yuhan Tang, Kangxin Cui, Jung Ho Park +6

Ride-hailing platforms face the challenge of balancing passenger waiting times with overall system efficiency under highly uncertain supply-demand conditions. Adaptive delayed matc…

cs.LG2025

TimePre: Bridging Accuracy, Efficiency, and Stability in Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting

Lingyu Jiang, Lingyu Xu, Peiran Li +14

We propose TimePre, a simple framework that unifies the efficiency of Multilayer Perceptron (MLP)-based models with the distributional flexibility of Multiple Choice Learning (MCL)…

cs.LG2025

UQGNN: Uncertainty Quantification of Graph Neural Networks for Multivariate Spatiotemporal Prediction

Dahai Yu, Dingyi Zhuang, Lin Jiang +5

Spatiotemporal prediction plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications such as urban planning, transportation optimization, disaster response, and pandemic control. In…

cs.LG2025

Interpretable Time Series Autoregression for Periodicity Quantification

Xinyu Chen, Vassilis Digalakis, Lijun Ding +2

Time series autoregression (AR) is a classical tool for modeling auto-correlations and periodic structures in real-world systems. We revisit this model from an interpretable machin…

cs.LG2025

Mitigating Spatial Disparity in Urban Prediction Using Residual-Aware Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks: A Chicago Case Study

Dingyi Zhuang, Hanyong Xu, Xiaotong Guo +3

Urban prediction tasks, such as forecasting traffic flow, temperature, and crime rates, are crucial for efficient urban planning and management. However, existing Spatiotemporal Gr…

cs.LG2025

Virtual Nodes Improve Long-term Traffic Prediction

Xiaoyang Cao, Dingyi Zhuang, Jinhua Zhao +1

Effective traffic prediction is a cornerstone of intelligent transportation systems, enabling precise forecasts of traffic flow, speed, and congestion. While traditional spatio-tem…

cs.LG2024

GETS: Ensemble Temperature Scaling for Calibration in Graph Neural Networks

Dingyi Zhuang, Chonghe Jiang, Yunhan Zheng +2

Graph Neural Networks deliver strong classification results but often suffer from poor calibration performance, leading to overconfidence or underconfidence. This is particularly p…

cs.LG2024★ 5 cited

SAUC: Sparsity-Aware Uncertainty Calibration for Spatiotemporal Prediction with Graph Neural Networks

Dingyi Zhuang, Yuheng Bu, Guang Wang +2

Quantifying uncertainty is crucial for robust and reliable predictions. However, existing spatiotemporal deep learning mostly focuses on deterministic prediction, overlooking the i…

cs.LG2024

Advancing Transportation Mode Share Analysis with Built Environment: Deep Hybrid Models with Urban Road Network

Dingyi Zhuang, Qingyi Wang, Yunhan Zheng +4

Transportation mode share analysis is important to various real-world transportation tasks as it helps researchers understand the travel behaviors and choices of passengers. A typi…

cs.LG2024

Time Series Supplier Allocation via Deep Black-Litterman Model

Jiayuan Luo, Wentao Zhang, Yuchen Fang +4

Time Series Supplier Allocation (TSSA) poses a complex NP-hard challenge, aimed at refining future order dispatching strategies to satisfy order demands with maximum supply efficie…

cs.LG2023★ 4 cited

Fairness-Enhancing Vehicle Rebalancing in the Ride-hailing System

Xiaotong Guo, Hanyong Xu, Dingyi Zhuang +2

The rapid growth of the ride-hailing industry has revolutionized urban transportation worldwide. Despite its benefits, equity concerns arise as underserved communities face limited…

cs.LG2023

Large Language Models for Travel Behavior Prediction

Baichuan Mo, Hanyong Xu, Ruoyun Ma +4

Travel behavior prediction is a core problem in transportation demand management and is traditionally addressed using numerical models calibrated on observed data. With recent adva…

cs.LG2023★ 40 cited

Uncertainty-Aware Probabilistic Graph Neural Networks for Road-Level Traffic Accident Prediction

Xiaowei Gao, Xinke Jiang, Dingyi Zhuang +4

Traffic accidents present substantial challenges to human safety and socio-economic development in urban areas. Developing a reliable and responsible traffic accident prediction mo…

cs.LG2023★ 27 cited

Uncertainty Quantification via Spatial-Temporal Tweedie Model for Zero-inflated and Long-tail Travel Demand Prediction

Xinke Jiang, Dingyi Zhuang, Xianghui Zhang +3

Understanding Origin-Destination (O-D) travel demand is crucial for transportation management. However, traditional spatial-temporal deep learning models grapple with addressing th…

cs.LG2023★ 1 cited

ST-GIN: An Uncertainty Quantification Approach in Traffic Data Imputation with Spatio-temporal Graph Attention and Bidirectional Recurrent United Neural Networks

Zepu Wang, Dingyi Zhuang, Yankai Li +4

Traffic data serves as a fundamental component in both research and applications within intelligent transportation systems. However, real-world transportation data, collected from…

cs.LG2023★ 1 cited

Fairness-enhancing deep learning for ride-hailing demand prediction

Yunhan Zheng, Qingyi Wang, Dingyi Zhuang +2

Short-term demand forecasting for on-demand ride-hailing services is one of the fundamental issues in intelligent transportation systems. However, previous travel demand forecastin…

cs.LG2023★ 6 cited

Uncertainty Quantification of Spatiotemporal Travel Demand with Probabilistic Graph Neural Networks

Qingyi Wang, Shenhao Wang, Dingyi Zhuang +2

Recent studies have significantly improved the prediction accuracy of travel demand using graph neural networks. However, these studies largely ignored uncertainty that inevitably…

cs.LG2022★ 50 cited

Uncertainty Quantification of Sparse Travel Demand Prediction with Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks

Dingyi Zhuang, Shenhao Wang, Haris N. Koutsopoulos +1

Origin-Destination (O-D) travel demand prediction is a fundamental challenge in transportation. Recently, spatial-temporal deep learning models demonstrate the tremendous potential…

cs.LG2021★ 15 cited

Spatial Aggregation and Temporal Convolution Networks for Real-time Kriging

Yuankai Wu, Dingyi Zhuang, Mengying Lei +2

Spatiotemporal kriging is an important application in spatiotemporal data analysis, aiming to recover/interpolate signals for unsampled/unobserved locations based on observed signa…

cs.LG2021★ 4 cited

Low-Rank Hankel Tensor Completion for Traffic Speed Estimation

Xudong Wang, Yuankai Wu, Dingyi Zhuang +1

This paper studies the traffic state estimation (TSE) problem using sparse observations from mobile sensors. Most existing TSE methods either rely on well-defined physical traffic…

cs.LG2020★ 17 cited

Inductive Graph Neural Networks for Spatiotemporal Kriging

Yuankai Wu, Dingyi Zhuang, Aurelie Labbe +1

Time series forecasting and spatiotemporal kriging are the two most important tasks in spatiotemporal data analysis. Recent research on graph neural networks has made substantial p…