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20162026
most citedNested conformal prediction and quantile out-of-bag ensemble methods

72 citations · 231 across the 61 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing 2024Show all

6 papers · 1 filter

math.PR2024

On the Missing Factor in Some Concentration Inequalities for Martingales

Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In this note, we improve some concentration inequalities for martingales with bounded increments. These results recover the missing factor in Freedman-style inequalities and are ne…

math.ST2024

On the Symmetry of Limiting Distributions of M-estimators

Arunav Bhowmick, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Many functionals of interest in statistics and machine learning can be written as minimizers of expected loss functions. Such functionals are called -estimands, and can be estim…

stat.AP2024

Algorithmic Forecasting of Extreme Heat Waves

Richard A. Berk, Amy Braverman, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

This paper provides some foundations for valid forecasting of rare and extreme heat waves through a better understanding of the similarities and differences between several consecu…

math.ST2024

Assumption-Lean Honest Inference for -functionals

Woonyoung Chang, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We develop a general assumption-lean framework for constructing uniformly valid confidence sets for functionals defined by moment equalities, referred to as -functionals. Our ap…

math.ST2024★ 1 cited

Generalized van Trees inequality: Local minimax bounds for non-smooth functionals and irregular statistical models

Kenta Takatsu, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In a decision-theoretic framework, the minimax lower bound provides the worst-case performance of estimators relative to a given class of statistical models. For parametric and sem…

math.ST2024

Inference for Median and a Generalization of HulC

Manit Paul, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

It is well-documented in the literature that sample splitting offers significant methodological and theoretical advantages in statistical inference. This, for example, includes cro…