activity
20162026
most citedNested conformal prediction and quantile out-of-bag ensemble methods

72 citations · 231 across the 61 of their papers we have counts for

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Showing 2023Show all

13 papers · 1 filter

math.ST2023

Rectangular Hull Confidence Regions for Multivariate Parameters

Aniket Jain, Arun K Kuchibhotla

We introduce three notions of multivariate median bias, namely, rectilinear, Tukey, and orthant median bias. Each of these median biases is zero under a suitable notion of multivar…

stat.ME2023★ 2 cited

Estimating the Likelihood of Arrest from Police Records in Presence of Unreported Crimes

Riccardo Fogliato, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla, Zachary Lipton +3

Many important policy decisions concerning policing hinge on our understanding of how likely various criminal offenses are to result in arrests. Since many crimes are never reporte…

math.ST2023

Generalized Asymptotic Limit Theory and Inference for Isotonic Regression

Soham Mallick, Siddhaarth Sarkar, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Monotonicity is a natural shape constraint in nonparametric regression problems, arising for instance when predicting factory yield as a monotone function of labor hours. The widel…

stat.ME2023★ 1 cited

Forster-Warmuth Counterfactual Regression: A Unified Learning Approach

Yachong Yang, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla, Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Series or orthogonal basis regression is one of the most popular non-parametric regression techniques in practice, obtained by regressing the response on features generated by eval…

stat.ME2023

From Isotonic to Lipschitz Regression: A New Interpolative Perspective on Shape-restricted Estimation

Kenta Takatsu, Tianyu Zhang, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

This manuscript bridges nonparametric smoothness-based and shape-restricted estimation, which may appear as two disjoint paradigms in the field. The proposed approach is motivated…

math.ST2023

Inference for Projection Parameters in Linear Regression: beyond

Woonyoung Chang, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla, Alessandro Rinaldo

We consider the problem of inference for projection parameters in linear regression with increasing dimensions. This problem has been studied under a variety of assumptions in the…

math.PR2023

Central Limit Theorems and Approximation Theory: Part II

Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In Part I of this article (Banerjee and Kuchibhotla (2023)), we have introduced a new method to bound the difference in expectations of an average of independent random vector and…

math.ST2023

Central Limit Theorems and Approximation Theory: Part I

Arisina Banerjee, Arun K Kuchibhotla

Central limit theorems (CLTs) have a long history in probability and statistics. They play a fundamental role in constructing valid statistical inference procedures. Over the last…

math.PR2023

Dual Induction CLT for High-dimensional m-dependent Data

Heejong Bong, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla, Alessandro Rinaldo

We derive novel and sharp high-dimensional Berry--Esseen bounds for the sum of -dependent random vectors over the class of hyper-rectangles exhibiting only a poly-logarithmic de…

math.ST2023★ 1 cited

Subsample Ridge Ensembles: Equivalences and Generalized Cross-Validation

Jin-Hong Du, Pratik Patil, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We study subsampling-based ridge ensembles in the proportional asymptotics regime, where the feature size grows proportionally with the sample size such that their ratio converges…

stat.ME2023

Post-selection Inference for Conformal Prediction: Trading off Coverage for Precision

Siddhaarth Sarkar, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Conformal inference has played a pivotal role in providing uncertainty quantification for black-box ML prediction algorithms with finite sample guarantees. Traditionally, conformal…

math.ST2023

Tight Concentration Inequality for Sub-Weibull Random Variables with Generalized Bernstien Orlicz norm

Heejong Bong, Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Recent development in high-dimensional statistical inference has necessitated concentration inequalities for a broader range of random variables. We focus on sub-Weibull random var…

stat.ME2023★ 7 cited

Extrapolated cross-validation for randomized ensembles

Jin-Hong Du, Pratik Patil, Kathryn Roeder +1

Ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are ubiquitous in various fields, from finance to genomics. Despite their prevalence, the question of the efficient tuning of en…